FightChoice Intelligence Report

Drakkar Klose
vs
Tommy Gantt

Drakkar Klose vs Tommy Gantt

https://fightchoice.app/events/drakkar-klose-vs-tommy-gantt-prediction-2026-09-12

Lightweight

Noche UFC: Silva vs. Delgado · Sep 12, 2026

In This Report

Prediction Intel

Stats Model Prediction

🔒 Prediction locked in before the fight · Predicted Sep 10, 2026, 19:07 UTC

Model Breakdown
Drakkar Klose Tommy Gantt
Deep Learning Model α 20% weight 42.2% 57.8%
Deep Learning Model ξ 22% weight 53.6% 46.4%
Statistical Model δ 20% weight 15.5% 84.5%
Statistical Model β 20% weight 24.3% 75.7%
Statistical Model ε 18% weight 25.0% 75.0%
Ensemble 24.3% 75.7%
AI Reasoning (why the models picked this)

The ensemble prediction favors Tommy Gantt. Key drivers include Tommy Gantt's superior win rate against Drakkar Klose, Drakkar Klose being past his prime, and Tommy Gantt's advantage in takedowns landed. Despite some models favoring Drakkar Klose on specific metrics like sig strike accuracy, the combined prediction leans towards Tommy Gantt due to the weighting of these influential factors.

  • Statistical Model β: Model β favors Tommy Gantt, citing his better win rate against Drakkar Klose, his younger age, and Drakkar Klose being past his prime.
  • Statistical Model ε: Model ε favors Tommy Gantt, highlighting Tommy Gantt's ground strike share, Drakkar Klose's shorter reach, and Drakkar Klose's younger age.

AI-generated from the model outputs above — wording may occasionally be imprecise.

Predicted Winner
Tommy Gantt
75.7%
Confidence
* Model output, not betting advice. Bet responsibly.

*New fighters, prediction made with limited information

Predicted Duration
Decision (15m00s total)

Chance the Fight Is Still Going

56% Chance of Decision

The curve stays above 50% all the way to the final bell, which is why the call above is a decision.

Path To Victory
Fighter By decision *Based on 235 similar fights By KO/TKO *Based on 235 similar fights By submission *Based on 235 similar fights Win Confidence *Based on our prediction
Drakkar Klose 13.4% 7.0% 3.8% 24.3%
Tommy Gantt 41.9% 21.9% 11.9% 75.7%
235 historical bouts 55.3% 28.9% 15.7% 100.0%
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Matchup Intel

How Similar Fights Ended

235 historical bouts

Every past fight is placed by the SHAPE of its mismatch — how far apart the two fighters were on each of 37 career measures, setting aside which one was ahead. Fights that sit close together form a profile. Below is how the 235 bouts in this bout's profile actually ended.

55% Reached the judges
45% Ended early
29% KO/TKO 16% Submission 4:51 Median finish, round 1
When those finishes came

This is a base rate over similar past matchups, not a prediction about these two fighters. It is drawn from what happened historically, and the profile is blind to which corner is which — so it can say how fights like this one tend to go, and nothing at all about who wins.

Fights with a similar mismatch

Every fighter is reduced to a profile of 37 career measures as they stood going into the fight, standardised so that no single measure dominates merely for having bigger units — a far wider read than the six charted below. The bout is then described by the gap between the two: how far apart they were on each of those measures, setting aside which one was ahead. The fights listed here are those whose gaps line up most closely with this one. Because the match is on the shape of a mismatch rather than on a weight class or an era, a neighbour can come from an entirely different division.

Fight Drakkar Klose Tommy Gantt
79% How closely the gap between these two fighters resembles the gap in that historical bout — the size and shape of the mismatch, not the fighters themselves. Two completely different pairs can produce the same mismatch. 100% would be an identical gap; two fights picked at random score about 36%, so a number near that means there is no real comparable on record. Match
Nov 2, 2019
UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz
Middleweight
Brad Tavares
Fight Performance
Strikes (Per Rnd)
3
Strike accuracy
13%
Takedowns (Per Rnd)
0
Takedown accuracy
—
Sub attempts (Per Rnd)
0
Control time (Per Rnd)
0s
Edmen Shahbazyan Winner
Finish 1st Rnd, 2m27s
Fight Performance
Strikes (Per Rnd)
14
Strike accuracy
36.8%
Takedowns (Per Rnd)
0
Takedown accuracy
—
Sub attempts (Per Rnd)
0
Control time (Per Rnd)
4s
74% How closely the gap between these two fighters resembles the gap in that historical bout — the size and shape of the mismatch, not the fighters themselves. Two completely different pairs can produce the same mismatch. 100% would be an identical gap; two fights picked at random score about 36%, so a number near that means there is no real comparable on record. Match
Nov 18, 2017
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Tybura
Flyweight
Jenel Lausa
Fight Performance
Strikes (Per Rnd)
1.7
Strike accuracy
16.7%
Takedowns (Per Rnd)
0.3
Takedown accuracy
50%
Sub attempts (Per Rnd)
0.7
Control time (Per Rnd)
23.7s
Eric Shelton Winner
Decision 3rd Rnd, 5m00s
Fight Performance
Strikes (Per Rnd)
28.7
Strike accuracy
74.1%
Takedowns (Per Rnd)
1.7
Takedown accuracy
71.4%
Sub attempts (Per Rnd)
0
Control time (Per Rnd)
178s
73% How closely the gap between these two fighters resembles the gap in that historical bout — the size and shape of the mismatch, not the fighters themselves. Two completely different pairs can produce the same mismatch. 100% would be an identical gap; two fights picked at random score about 36%, so a number near that means there is no real comparable on record. Match
Apr 30, 2011
UFC 129: St-Pierre vs Shields
Welterweight
Jake Shields
Fight Performance
Strikes (Per Rnd)
15.6
Strike accuracy
19.5%
Takedowns (Per Rnd)
0
Takedown accuracy
0%
Sub attempts (Per Rnd)
0
Control time (Per Rnd)
4s
Georges St-Pierre Winner
Decision 5th Rnd, 5m00s
Fight Performance
Strikes (Per Rnd)
17
Strike accuracy
34.7%
Takedowns (Per Rnd)
0.4
Takedown accuracy
66.7%
Sub attempts (Per Rnd)
0
Control time (Per Rnd)
9.6s
72% How closely the gap between these two fighters resembles the gap in that historical bout — the size and shape of the mismatch, not the fighters themselves. Two completely different pairs can produce the same mismatch. 100% would be an identical gap; two fights picked at random score about 36%, so a number near that means there is no real comparable on record. Match
Apr 17, 2021
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Gastelum
Women's Flyweight
Justine Kish
Fight Performance
Strikes (Per Rnd)
18.3
Strike accuracy
46.2%
Takedowns (Per Rnd)
0
Takedown accuracy
0%
Sub attempts (Per Rnd)
0
Control time (Per Rnd)
12.7s
Tracy Cortez Winner
Decision 3rd Rnd, 5m00s
Fight Performance
Strikes (Per Rnd)
22
Strike accuracy
58.9%
Takedowns (Per Rnd)
1
Takedown accuracy
60%
Sub attempts (Per Rnd)
0.3
Control time (Per Rnd)
128.7s
71% How closely the gap between these two fighters resembles the gap in that historical bout — the size and shape of the mismatch, not the fighters themselves. Two completely different pairs can produce the same mismatch. 100% would be an identical gap; two fights picked at random score about 36%, so a number near that means there is no real comparable on record. Match
Oct 26, 2024
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway
Featherweight
Victor Hugo
Fight Performance
Strikes (Per Rnd)
15
Strike accuracy
36%
Takedowns (Per Rnd)
0.3
Takedown accuracy
25%
Sub attempts (Per Rnd)
0.3
Control time (Per Rnd)
6s
Farid Basharat Winner
Decision 3rd Rnd, 5m00s
Fight Performance
Strikes (Per Rnd)
20
Strike accuracy
47.6%
Takedowns (Per Rnd)
1.3
Takedown accuracy
57.1%
Sub attempts (Per Rnd)
0
Control time (Per Rnd)
92.3s
71% How closely the gap between these two fighters resembles the gap in that historical bout — the size and shape of the mismatch, not the fighters themselves. Two completely different pairs can produce the same mismatch. 100% would be an identical gap; two fights picked at random score about 36%, so a number near that means there is no real comparable on record. Match
Feb 19, 2017
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Browne
Women's Strawweight
Randa Markos Winner
Decision 3rd Rnd, 5m00s
Fight Performance
Strikes (Per Rnd)
16
Strike accuracy
43.6%
Takedowns (Per Rnd)
0
Takedown accuracy
—
Sub attempts (Per Rnd)
0
Control time (Per Rnd)
6s
Carla Esparza
Fight Performance
Strikes (Per Rnd)
10.7
Strike accuracy
24.2%
Takedowns (Per Rnd)
1.3
Takedown accuracy
40%
Sub attempts (Per Rnd)
0.3
Control time (Per Rnd)
55s
70% How closely the gap between these two fighters resembles the gap in that historical bout — the size and shape of the mismatch, not the fighters themselves. Two completely different pairs can produce the same mismatch. 100% would be an identical gap; two fights picked at random score about 36%, so a number near that means there is no real comparable on record. Match
Apr 7, 2018
UFC 223: Khabib vs. Iaquinta
Women's Strawweight
Joanna Jedrzejczyk
Fight Performance
Strikes (Per Rnd)
29
Strike accuracy
40.7%
Takedowns (Per Rnd)
0
Takedown accuracy
—
Sub attempts (Per Rnd)
0
Control time (Per Rnd)
0s
Rose Namajunas Winner
Decision 5th Rnd, 5m00s
Fight Performance
Strikes (Per Rnd)
21
Strike accuracy
34.9%
Takedowns (Per Rnd)
0.2
Takedown accuracy
50%
Sub attempts (Per Rnd)
0
Control time (Per Rnd)
11.2s
70% How closely the gap between these two fighters resembles the gap in that historical bout — the size and shape of the mismatch, not the fighters themselves. Two completely different pairs can produce the same mismatch. 100% would be an identical gap; two fights picked at random score about 36%, so a number near that means there is no real comparable on record. Match
Feb 22, 2025
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song
Middleweight
Brendan Allen
Fight Performance
Strikes (Per Rnd)
4.7
Strike accuracy
53.8%
Takedowns (Per Rnd)
0
Takedown accuracy
0%
Sub attempts (Per Rnd)
0.3
Control time (Per Rnd)
59.3s
Anthony Hernandez Winner
Decision 3rd Rnd, 5m00s
Fight Performance
Strikes (Per Rnd)
10
Strike accuracy
71.4%
Takedowns (Per Rnd)
1.3
Takedown accuracy
50%
Sub attempts (Per Rnd)
0
Control time (Per Rnd)
207.3s
70% How closely the gap between these two fighters resembles the gap in that historical bout — the size and shape of the mismatch, not the fighters themselves. Two completely different pairs can produce the same mismatch. 100% would be an identical gap; two fights picked at random score about 36%, so a number near that means there is no real comparable on record. Match
Dec 9, 2017
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Ortega
Bantamweight
Marlon Moraes Winner
Finish 1st Rnd, 1m07s
Fight Performance
Strikes (Per Rnd)
7
Strike accuracy
50%
Takedowns (Per Rnd)
0
Takedown accuracy
—
Sub attempts (Per Rnd)
0
Control time (Per Rnd)
13s
Aljamain Sterling
Fight Performance
Strikes (Per Rnd)
3
Strike accuracy
30%
Takedowns (Per Rnd)
0
Takedown accuracy
—
Sub attempts (Per Rnd)
0
Control time (Per Rnd)
0s
70% How closely the gap between these two fighters resembles the gap in that historical bout — the size and shape of the mismatch, not the fighters themselves. Two completely different pairs can produce the same mismatch. 100% would be an identical gap; two fights picked at random score about 36%, so a number near that means there is no real comparable on record. Match
Jun 29, 2024
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2
Women's Strawweight
Michelle Waterson-Gomez
Fight Performance
Strikes (Per Rnd)
7
Strike accuracy
40.4%
Takedowns (Per Rnd)
0.3
Takedown accuracy
100%
Sub attempts (Per Rnd)
0
Control time (Per Rnd)
6.3s
Gillian Robertson Winner
Decision 3rd Rnd, 5m00s
Fight Performance
Strikes (Per Rnd)
25.7
Strike accuracy
73.3%
Takedowns (Per Rnd)
0.7
Takedown accuracy
33.3%
Sub attempts (Per Rnd)
0.7
Control time (Per Rnd)
251.3s
70% How closely the gap between these two fighters resembles the gap in that historical bout — the size and shape of the mismatch, not the fighters themselves. Two completely different pairs can produce the same mismatch. 100% would be an identical gap; two fights picked at random score about 36%, so a number near that means there is no real comparable on record. Match
Mar 27, 2010
UFC 111: St-Pierre vs Hardy
Welterweight
Dan Hardy
Fight Performance
Strikes (Per Rnd)
0.8
Strike accuracy
14.8%
Takedowns (Per Rnd)
0
Takedown accuracy
—
Sub attempts (Per Rnd)
0
Control time (Per Rnd)
7.2s
Georges St-Pierre Winner
Decision 5th Rnd, 5m00s
Fight Performance
Strikes (Per Rnd)
11.8
Strike accuracy
74.7%
Takedowns (Per Rnd)
2.2
Takedown accuracy
100%
Sub attempts (Per Rnd)
1.2
Control time (Per Rnd)
246.2s
69% How closely the gap between these two fighters resembles the gap in that historical bout — the size and shape of the mismatch, not the fighters themselves. Two completely different pairs can produce the same mismatch. 100% would be an identical gap; two fights picked at random score about 36%, so a number near that means there is no real comparable on record. Match
Apr 10, 2021
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Holland
Bantamweight
Hunter Azure
Fight Performance
Strikes (Per Rnd)
15
Strike accuracy
56.3%
Takedowns (Per Rnd)
0
Takedown accuracy
0%
Sub attempts (Per Rnd)
0.3
Control time (Per Rnd)
80.7s
Jack Shore Winner
Decision 3rd Rnd, 5m00s
Fight Performance
Strikes (Per Rnd)
12
Strike accuracy
63.2%
Takedowns (Per Rnd)
2
Takedown accuracy
46.2%
Sub attempts (Per Rnd)
0
Control time (Per Rnd)
105.7s
69% How closely the gap between these two fighters resembles the gap in that historical bout — the size and shape of the mismatch, not the fighters themselves. Two completely different pairs can produce the same mismatch. 100% would be an identical gap; two fights picked at random score about 36%, so a number near that means there is no real comparable on record. Match
Jul 12, 2025
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira
Women's Flyweight
Lauren Murphy
Fight Performance
Strikes (Per Rnd)
12.7
Strike accuracy
26.2%
Takedowns (Per Rnd)
0.7
Takedown accuracy
22.2%
Sub attempts (Per Rnd)
0.7
Control time (Per Rnd)
21s
Eduarda Moura Winner
Decision 3rd Rnd, 5m00s
Fight Performance
Strikes (Per Rnd)
21.3
Strike accuracy
27.2%
Takedowns (Per Rnd)
0.7
Takedown accuracy
66.7%
Sub attempts (Per Rnd)
0
Control time (Per Rnd)
60.7s
69% How closely the gap between these two fighters resembles the gap in that historical bout — the size and shape of the mismatch, not the fighters themselves. Two completely different pairs can produce the same mismatch. 100% would be an identical gap; two fights picked at random score about 36%, so a number near that means there is no real comparable on record. Match
Jul 27, 2019
UFC 240: Holloway vs. Edgar
Women's Flyweight
Alexis Davis
Fight Performance
Strikes (Per Rnd)
22.7
Strike accuracy
49.6%
Takedowns (Per Rnd)
0
Takedown accuracy
0%
Sub attempts (Per Rnd)
0
Control time (Per Rnd)
75.7s
Viviane Araujo Winner
Decision 3rd Rnd, 5m00s
Fight Performance
Strikes (Per Rnd)
22.3
Strike accuracy
45.3%
Takedowns (Per Rnd)
0.7
Takedown accuracy
100%
Sub attempts (Per Rnd)
0
Control time (Per Rnd)
20s
69% How closely the gap between these two fighters resembles the gap in that historical bout — the size and shape of the mismatch, not the fighters themselves. Two completely different pairs can produce the same mismatch. 100% would be an identical gap; two fights picked at random score about 36%, so a number near that means there is no real comparable on record. Match
Aug 25, 2018
UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vick
Flyweight
Deiveson Figueiredo Winner
Finish 2nd Rnd, 3m08s
Fight Performance
Strikes (Per Rnd)
14.5
Strike accuracy
74.4%
Takedowns (Per Rnd)
1
Takedown accuracy
50%
Sub attempts (Per Rnd)
0.5
Control time (Per Rnd)
147s
John Moraga
Fight Performance
Strikes (Per Rnd)
7
Strike accuracy
53.8%
Takedowns (Per Rnd)
0
Takedown accuracy
0%
Sub attempts (Per Rnd)
0.5
Control time (Per Rnd)
0s

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Tale of the Tape

Tale of the Tape

Stat Drakkar Klose Tommy Gantt
UFC Record 10-4 2-0
Height 5' 9" 5' 11"
Weight 155 lbs. 155 lbs.
Reach 70" 76"
Stance Orthodox Orthodox
Age 38 33

Records count UFC bouts only (wins-losses-no contests) — we have no verified pre-UFC record for both of these fighters.

Statistics Intel

Head-to-Head Statistics

The same per-round and advanced numbers each fighter's profile shows, side by side. The stronger value in each row is highlighted.

Stat Drakkar Klose Tommy Gantt
Per Round Average
Strikes 18.3 16.8
Strike accuracy 54.9% 70%
Takedowns 0.4 1.6
Takedown accuracy 26.8% 32%
Sub attempts 0 0.2
Control time 59.8s 182s
Knockdowns 0.06 0
Knockdowns absorbed 0.06 0
Advanced Fighter Statistics
win rate Wins divided by this fighter's total recorded fights. 71.4% 100.0%
recent win rate Win rate over the last 5 recorded fights only — a form signal, not a career figure. 60.0% 100.0%
win streak Current run: a positive number is consecutive wins, a negative number consecutive losses. -1 5
total fights Total recorded fights, including bouts outside the UFC. 14 5
head strike share Share of this fighter's landed significant strikes that went to the head. Head, body and leg sum to 100%. 52.7% 51.2%
body strike share Share of this fighter's landed significant strikes that went to the body. Head, body and leg sum to 100%. 28.5% 44.0%
leg strike share Share of this fighter's landed significant strikes that went to the legs. Head, body and leg sum to 100%. 18.9% 4.8%
sig strikes absorbed Significant strikes opponents land on this fighter PER ROUND, counted from the round-by-round UFC stats across their scored rounds. Lower is better. 16.89 4.6
takedowns absorbed Takedowns opponents complete on this fighter PER ROUND, counted from the round-by-round UFC stats across their scored rounds. Lower is better. 0.39 0
cardio sig ratio This fighter's significant strikes landed in the LATER rounds divided by the EARLIER rounds. 1.0 is neutral: above it their output grows late, below it they fade. Shown only for fighters with at least 3 UFC bouts on record. 0.83 —
cardio defence ratio What OPPONENTS land on this fighter in the LATER rounds divided by what they land in the EARLIER rounds. 1.0 is neutral. LOWER is better — a high value means opponents find them more as the fight wears on. Shown only for fighters with at least 3 UFC bouts on record. 1 —
cardio takedown ratio This fighter's takedowns in the LATER rounds divided by the EARLIER rounds. 1.0 is neutral. Shown only for fighters with at least 3 UFC bouts on record. 0.5 —
is orthodox Whether the fighter's recorded stance is orthodox. Yes Yes
is southpaw Whether the fighter's recorded stance is southpaw. No No
switch stance Whether the fighter is recorded as switching stance. No No
finish rate Share of this fighter's WINS that came by finish, KO/TKO or submission. The denominator is wins, not fights. 20.0% 80.0%
KO win rate Share of this fighter's WINS that came by KO or TKO. The denominator is wins, not fights. 20.0% 20.0%
sub win rate Share of this fighter's WINS that came by submission. The denominator is wins, not fights. 0.0% 60.0%
been stopped rate Share of this fighter's LOSSES that ended by finish — the denominator is LOSSES, not fights. A fighter who is 20-1 whose single loss was a KO therefore reads 100%. 75.0% 0.0%
distance strike share Share of this fighter's landed significant strikes thrown at distance. Distance, clinch and ground sum to 100%. 58.6% 11.9%
clinch strike share Share of this fighter's landed significant strikes thrown in the clinch. Distance, clinch and ground sum to 100%. 33.5% 53.6%
ground strike share Share of this fighter's landed significant strikes thrown on the ground. Distance, clinch and ground sum to 100%. 7.9% 34.5%
avg fight duration (m:ss) Mean length of this fighter's UFC fights, in minutes and seconds. "—" means we hold no round-time data for them. 11:42 10:19
Elo rating A UFC-only Elo rating: it rises and falls with results, weighted by the opponent's rating. 1500 is the starting and dataset-average value. 1,580.8 1,535.8
PageRank How central this fighter is in the network of who-fought-whom. It reflects the quality of opposition they have shared a cage with, not their skill. 0.121 0.055
career stage Form over the last 4 fights before this one: 3 or more wins reads Peak, 2 or fewer reads Decline, and fewer than 4 prior fights reads Early. Decline Peak
Market Intel

Market Odds

Sportsbook Drakkar Klose Tommy Gantt
US Decimal US Decimal
Proline +275 3.75 -526 1.19

Odds captured Sep 12, 2026, 6:03 PM

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