FightChoice Intelligence Report

Kurtis Campbell
vs
Trevor Peek

Kurtis Campbell vs Trevor Peek

https://fightchoice.app/events/kurtis-campbell-vs-trevor-peek-prediction-2026-09-05

Featherweight

UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Parnasse · Sep 5, 2026

Stats Model Prediction

🔒 Prediction locked in before the fight · Predicted Aug 15, 2026, 00:02 UTC

Model Breakdown
Kurtis Campbell Trevor Peek
Deep Learning Model α 16% weight 49.0% 51.0%
Deep Learning Model ξ 23% weight 52.0% 48.0%
Statistical Model δ 19% weight 45.6% 54.4%
Statistical Model β 22% weight 50.0% 50.0%
Statistical Model ε 20% weight 52.5% 47.5%
Ensemble 51.0% 49.0%
Predicted Winner
Kurtis Campbell
51.0%
Confidence
* Model output, not betting advice. Bet responsibly.

*New fighters, prediction made with limited information

Predicted Duration
3rd Round at 3m45s (13m45s total)
Chance the fight is still going at the end of each round
End of round
47% Chance of Decision

The dashed line is 50%. The round where the curve crosses it is the round named above — the midpoint of the distribution, not necessarily its single most likely outcome.

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Fights with a similar mismatch

Every fighter is reduced to a profile of 37 career measures as they stood going into the fight, standardised so that no single measure dominates merely for having bigger units — a far wider read than the six charted below. The bout is then described by the gap between the two: how far apart they were on each of those measures, setting aside which one was ahead. The fights listed here are those whose gaps line up most closely with this one. Because the match is on the shape of a mismatch rather than on a weight class or an era, a neighbour can come from an entirely different division.

Fight Kurtis Campbell Trevor Peek
62% How closely the gap between these two fighters resembles the gap in that historical bout — the size and shape of the mismatch, not the fighters themselves. Two completely different pairs can produce the same mismatch. 100% would be an identical gap; two fights picked at random score about 45%, so a number near that means there is no real comparable on record. Match
Nov 19, 2022
UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba
Bantamweight
Kevin Natividad
Fight Performance
Strikes (Per Rnd)
13.7
Strike accuracy
50.6%
Takedowns (Per Rnd)
2.3
Takedown accuracy
53.8%
Sub attempts (Per Rnd)
0
Control time (Per Rnd)
100s
Ricky Turcios Winner
Decision 3rd Rnd, 5m00s
Fight Performance
Strikes (Per Rnd)
22.7
Strike accuracy
59.1%
Takedowns (Per Rnd)
0.7
Takedown accuracy
40%
Sub attempts (Per Rnd)
0.3
Control time (Per Rnd)
125.7s
62% How closely the gap between these two fighters resembles the gap in that historical bout — the size and shape of the mismatch, not the fighters themselves. Two completely different pairs can produce the same mismatch. 100% would be an identical gap; two fights picked at random score about 45%, so a number near that means there is no real comparable on record. Match
Oct 21, 2023
UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2
Bantamweight
Said Nurmagomedov Winner
Finish 1st Rnd, 1m13s
Fight Performance
Strikes (Per Rnd)
5
Strike accuracy
45.5%
Takedowns (Per Rnd)
0
Takedown accuracy
—
Sub attempts (Per Rnd)
1
Control time (Per Rnd)
3s
Muin Gafurov
Fight Performance
Strikes (Per Rnd)
1
Strike accuracy
33.3%
Takedowns (Per Rnd)
0
Takedown accuracy
0%
Sub attempts (Per Rnd)
0
Control time (Per Rnd)
7s
61% How closely the gap between these two fighters resembles the gap in that historical bout — the size and shape of the mismatch, not the fighters themselves. Two completely different pairs can produce the same mismatch. 100% would be an identical gap; two fights picked at random score about 45%, so a number near that means there is no real comparable on record. Match
Jul 23, 2022
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall
Women's Flyweight
Victoria Leonardo Winner
Decision 3rd Rnd, 5m00s
Fight Performance
Strikes (Per Rnd)
13
Strike accuracy
35.5%
Takedowns (Per Rnd)
0.7
Takedown accuracy
33.3%
Sub attempts (Per Rnd)
0
Control time (Per Rnd)
142s
Mandy Bohm
Fight Performance
Strikes (Per Rnd)
17.3
Strike accuracy
55.9%
Takedowns (Per Rnd)
0
Takedown accuracy
0%
Sub attempts (Per Rnd)
0.3
Control time (Per Rnd)
18.3s
60% How closely the gap between these two fighters resembles the gap in that historical bout — the size and shape of the mismatch, not the fighters themselves. Two completely different pairs can produce the same mismatch. 100% would be an identical gap; two fights picked at random score about 45%, so a number near that means there is no real comparable on record. Match
Oct 11, 2025
UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot
Heavyweight
Mario Pinto Winner
Finish 2nd Rnd, 4m10s
Fight Performance
Strikes (Per Rnd)
14.5
Strike accuracy
87.9%
Takedowns (Per Rnd)
1.5
Takedown accuracy
75%
Sub attempts (Per Rnd)
1
Control time (Per Rnd)
224s
Jhonata Diniz
Fight Performance
Strikes (Per Rnd)
0.5
Strike accuracy
20%
Takedowns (Per Rnd)
0
Takedown accuracy
—
Sub attempts (Per Rnd)
0
Control time (Per Rnd)
4.5s
60% How closely the gap between these two fighters resembles the gap in that historical bout — the size and shape of the mismatch, not the fighters themselves. Two completely different pairs can produce the same mismatch. 100% would be an identical gap; two fights picked at random score about 45%, so a number near that means there is no real comparable on record. Match
Aug 23, 2025
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang
Lightweight
Maheshate
Fight Performance
Strikes (Per Rnd)
22
Strike accuracy
44%
Takedowns (Per Rnd)
0
Takedown accuracy
0%
Sub attempts (Per Rnd)
0
Control time (Per Rnd)
4s
Gauge Young Winner
Decision 3rd Rnd, 5m00s
Fight Performance
Strikes (Per Rnd)
37.3
Strike accuracy
56%
Takedowns (Per Rnd)
1
Takedown accuracy
50%
Sub attempts (Per Rnd)
0
Control time (Per Rnd)
77s
60% How closely the gap between these two fighters resembles the gap in that historical bout — the size and shape of the mismatch, not the fighters themselves. Two completely different pairs can produce the same mismatch. 100% would be an identical gap; two fights picked at random score about 45%, so a number near that means there is no real comparable on record. Match
Jun 17, 2023
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier
Flyweight
Jimmy Flick
Fight Performance
Strikes (Per Rnd)
7
Strike accuracy
37.8%
Takedowns (Per Rnd)
0
Takedown accuracy
0%
Sub attempts (Per Rnd)
0
Control time (Per Rnd)
7s
Alessandro Costa Winner
Finish 2nd Rnd, 1m03s
Fight Performance
Strikes (Per Rnd)
32.5
Strike accuracy
71.4%
Takedowns (Per Rnd)
0
Takedown accuracy
—
Sub attempts (Per Rnd)
0
Control time (Per Rnd)
25s
59% How closely the gap between these two fighters resembles the gap in that historical bout — the size and shape of the mismatch, not the fighters themselves. Two completely different pairs can produce the same mismatch. 100% would be an identical gap; two fights picked at random score about 45%, so a number near that means there is no real comparable on record. Match
Aug 26, 2023
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. The Korean Zombie
Bantamweight
Toshiomi Kazama
Fight Performance
Strikes (Per Rnd)
15
Strike accuracy
48.4%
Takedowns (Per Rnd)
0
Takedown accuracy
0%
Sub attempts (Per Rnd)
0
Control time (Per Rnd)
0s
Garrett Armfield Winner
Finish 1st Rnd, 4m16s
Fight Performance
Strikes (Per Rnd)
45
Strike accuracy
58.4%
Takedowns (Per Rnd)
0
Takedown accuracy
—
Sub attempts (Per Rnd)
0
Control time (Per Rnd)
26s
58% How closely the gap between these two fighters resembles the gap in that historical bout — the size and shape of the mismatch, not the fighters themselves. Two completely different pairs can produce the same mismatch. 100% would be an identical gap; two fights picked at random score about 45%, so a number near that means there is no real comparable on record. Match
Apr 24, 2021
UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2
Bantamweight
Kevin Natividad
Fight Performance
Strikes (Per Rnd)
3
Strike accuracy
37.5%
Takedowns (Per Rnd)
0
Takedown accuracy
—
Sub attempts (Per Rnd)
0
Control time (Per Rnd)
0s
Batgerel Danaa Winner
Finish 1st Rnd, 0m50s
Fight Performance
Strikes (Per Rnd)
7
Strike accuracy
46.7%
Takedowns (Per Rnd)
0
Takedown accuracy
—
Sub attempts (Per Rnd)
0
Control time (Per Rnd)
4s
58% How closely the gap between these two fighters resembles the gap in that historical bout — the size and shape of the mismatch, not the fighters themselves. Two completely different pairs can produce the same mismatch. 100% would be an identical gap; two fights picked at random score about 45%, so a number near that means there is no real comparable on record. Match
Nov 1, 2025
UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama
Welterweight
Daniel Frunza
Fight Performance
Strikes (Per Rnd)
2
Strike accuracy
25%
Takedowns (Per Rnd)
0
Takedown accuracy
—
Sub attempts (Per Rnd)
0
Control time (Per Rnd)
0s
Charles Radtke Winner
Finish 3rd Rnd, 4m29s
Fight Performance
Strikes (Per Rnd)
10.3
Strike accuracy
81.6%
Takedowns (Per Rnd)
1
Takedown accuracy
60%
Sub attempts (Per Rnd)
0.7
Control time (Per Rnd)
233.7s
58% How closely the gap between these two fighters resembles the gap in that historical bout — the size and shape of the mismatch, not the fighters themselves. Two completely different pairs can produce the same mismatch. 100% would be an identical gap; two fights picked at random score about 45%, so a number near that means there is no real comparable on record. Match
Nov 18, 2017
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Tybura
Welterweight
Belal Muhammad Winner
Decision 3rd Rnd, 5m00s
Fight Performance
Strikes (Per Rnd)
29.3
Strike accuracy
39.8%
Takedowns (Per Rnd)
0.3
Takedown accuracy
20%
Sub attempts (Per Rnd)
0
Control time (Per Rnd)
7s
Tim Means
Fight Performance
Strikes (Per Rnd)
30.3
Strike accuracy
38.9%
Takedowns (Per Rnd)
0
Takedown accuracy
0%
Sub attempts (Per Rnd)
0
Control time (Per Rnd)
0s
57% How closely the gap between these two fighters resembles the gap in that historical bout — the size and shape of the mismatch, not the fighters themselves. Two completely different pairs can produce the same mismatch. 100% would be an identical gap; two fights picked at random score about 45%, so a number near that means there is no real comparable on record. Match
Feb 1, 2025
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov
Featherweight
Kaan Ofli
Fight Performance
Strikes (Per Rnd)
10.3
Strike accuracy
47%
Takedowns (Per Rnd)
0
Takedown accuracy
0%
Sub attempts (Per Rnd)
0
Control time (Per Rnd)
71.7s
Muhammad Naimov Winner
Decision 3rd Rnd, 5m00s
Fight Performance
Strikes (Per Rnd)
10.7
Strike accuracy
34.8%
Takedowns (Per Rnd)
0.7
Takedown accuracy
100%
Sub attempts (Per Rnd)
0
Control time (Per Rnd)
112s
56% How closely the gap between these two fighters resembles the gap in that historical bout — the size and shape of the mismatch, not the fighters themselves. Two completely different pairs can produce the same mismatch. 100% would be an identical gap; two fights picked at random score about 45%, so a number near that means there is no real comparable on record. Match
Jul 26, 2014
UFC on FOX: Lawler vs Brown
Featherweight
Noad Lahat Winner
Decision 3rd Rnd, 5m00s
Fight Performance
Strikes (Per Rnd)
8.7
Strike accuracy
28.6%
Takedowns (Per Rnd)
1.3
Takedown accuracy
23.5%
Sub attempts (Per Rnd)
0.7
Control time (Per Rnd)
66.7s
Steven Siler
Fight Performance
Strikes (Per Rnd)
11.7
Strike accuracy
38%
Takedowns (Per Rnd)
0
Takedown accuracy
—
Sub attempts (Per Rnd)
0
Control time (Per Rnd)
74.3s
56% How closely the gap between these two fighters resembles the gap in that historical bout — the size and shape of the mismatch, not the fighters themselves. Two completely different pairs can produce the same mismatch. 100% would be an identical gap; two fights picked at random score about 45%, so a number near that means there is no real comparable on record. Match
Oct 29, 2022
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen
Featherweight
Chase Hooper
Fight Performance
Strikes (Per Rnd)
10
Strike accuracy
33.3%
Takedowns (Per Rnd)
0
Takedown accuracy
0%
Sub attempts (Per Rnd)
0
Control time (Per Rnd)
0s
Steve Garcia Winner
Finish 1st Rnd, 1m32s
Fight Performance
Strikes (Per Rnd)
29
Strike accuracy
65.9%
Takedowns (Per Rnd)
0
Takedown accuracy
—
Sub attempts (Per Rnd)
0
Control time (Per Rnd)
17s
55% How closely the gap between these two fighters resembles the gap in that historical bout — the size and shape of the mismatch, not the fighters themselves. Two completely different pairs can produce the same mismatch. 100% would be an identical gap; two fights picked at random score about 45%, so a number near that means there is no real comparable on record. Match
Sep 9, 2023
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland
Featherweight
Gabriel Miranda Winner
Finish 1st Rnd, 0m59s
Fight Performance
Strikes (Per Rnd)
2
Strike accuracy
33.3%
Takedowns (Per Rnd)
1
Takedown accuracy
50%
Sub attempts (Per Rnd)
1
Control time (Per Rnd)
32s
Shane Young
Fight Performance
Strikes (Per Rnd)
1
Strike accuracy
25%
Takedowns (Per Rnd)
0
Takedown accuracy
—
Sub attempts (Per Rnd)
0
Control time (Per Rnd)
0s
55% How closely the gap between these two fighters resembles the gap in that historical bout — the size and shape of the mismatch, not the fighters themselves. Two completely different pairs can produce the same mismatch. 100% would be an identical gap; two fights picked at random score about 45%, so a number near that means there is no real comparable on record. Match
Oct 23, 2021
UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vettori
Middleweight
Jamie Pickett Winner
Decision 3rd Rnd, 5m00s
Fight Performance
Strikes (Per Rnd)
15.7
Strike accuracy
49%
Takedowns (Per Rnd)
0.7
Takedown accuracy
100%
Sub attempts (Per Rnd)
0
Control time (Per Rnd)
52.3s
Laureano Staropoli
Fight Performance
Strikes (Per Rnd)
8.3
Strike accuracy
40.3%
Takedowns (Per Rnd)
0.3
Takedown accuracy
11.1%
Sub attempts (Per Rnd)
0
Control time (Per Rnd)
108.7s

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Tale of the Tape

Stat Kurtis Campbell Trevor Peek
Career Record 8-1 9-3
Height 5' 9" 5' 9"
Weight 145 lbs. 145 lbs.
Reach 72" 70"
Stance Switch Switch
Age 24 31

Records are official career records, all promotions included.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The same per-round and advanced numbers each fighter's profile shows, side by side. The stronger value in each row is highlighted.

Stat Kurtis Campbell Trevor Peek
Per Round Average
Strikes 8.5 20.4
Strike accuracy 41.5% 51.8%
Takedowns 1 0.5
Takedown accuracy 40% 50%
Sub attempts 0 0
Control time 58s 48.8s
Knockdowns 0 0.15
Knockdowns absorbed 1 0
Advanced Fighter Statistics
win rate Wins divided by this fighter's total recorded fights. 33.3% 70.6%
recent win rate Win rate over the last 5 recorded fights only — a form signal, not a career figure. 33.3% 40.0%
win streak Current run: a positive number is consecutive wins, a negative number consecutive losses. -1 -2
total fights Total recorded fights, including bouts outside the UFC. 3 17
head strike share Share of this fighter's landed significant strikes that went to the head. Head, body and leg sum to 100%. 70.6% 58.9%
body strike share Share of this fighter's landed significant strikes that went to the body. Head, body and leg sum to 100%. 11.8% 26.8%
leg strike share Share of this fighter's landed significant strikes that went to the legs. Head, body and leg sum to 100%. 17.6% 14.3%
sig strikes absorbed Significant strikes opponents land on this fighter PER ROUND, counted from the round-by-round UFC stats across their scored rounds. Lower is better. 8 16.69
takedowns absorbed Takedowns opponents complete on this fighter PER ROUND, counted from the round-by-round UFC stats across their scored rounds. Lower is better. 0.5 1.69
cardio sig ratio This fighter's significant strikes landed in the LATER rounds divided by the EARLIER rounds. 1.0 is neutral: above it their output grows late, below it they fade. Shown only for fighters with at least 3 UFC bouts on record. — 0.45
cardio defence ratio What OPPONENTS land on this fighter in the LATER rounds divided by what they land in the EARLIER rounds. 1.0 is neutral. LOWER is better — a high value means opponents find them more as the fight wears on. Shown only for fighters with at least 3 UFC bouts on record. — 1.08
cardio takedown ratio This fighter's takedowns in the LATER rounds divided by the EARLIER rounds. 1.0 is neutral. Shown only for fighters with at least 3 UFC bouts on record. — 1.5
is orthodox Whether the fighter's recorded stance is orthodox. No No
is southpaw Whether the fighter's recorded stance is southpaw. No No
switch stance Whether the fighter is recorded as switching stance. Yes Yes
finish rate Share of this fighter's WINS that came by finish, KO/TKO or submission. The denominator is wins, not fights. 100.0% 83.3%
KO win rate Share of this fighter's WINS that came by KO or TKO. The denominator is wins, not fights. 100.0% 83.3%
sub win rate Share of this fighter's WINS that came by submission. The denominator is wins, not fights. 0.0% 0.0%
been stopped rate Share of this fighter's LOSSES that ended by finish — the denominator is LOSSES, not fights. A fighter who is 20-1 whose single loss was a KO therefore reads 100%. 50.0% 20.0%
distance strike share Share of this fighter's landed significant strikes thrown at distance. Distance, clinch and ground sum to 100%. 88.2% 78.1%
clinch strike share Share of this fighter's landed significant strikes thrown in the clinch. Distance, clinch and ground sum to 100%. 11.8% 16.6%
ground strike share Share of this fighter's landed significant strikes thrown on the ground. Distance, clinch and ground sum to 100%. 0.0% 5.3%
avg fight duration (m:ss) Mean length of this fighter's UFC fights, in minutes and seconds. "—" means we hold no round-time data for them. 5:31 13:00
Elo rating A UFC-only Elo rating: it rises and falls with results, weighted by the opponent's rating. 1500 is the starting and dataset-average value. 1,484.7 1,482.2
PageRank How central this fighter is in the network of who-fought-whom. It reflects the quality of opposition they have shared a cage with, not their skill. 0.011 0.095
career stage Form over the last 4 fights before this one: 3 or more wins reads Peak, 2 or fewer reads Decline, and fewer than 4 prior fights reads Early. Early Decline

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