FightChoice Intelligence Report
Rafael Fiziev vs Manuel Torres
https://fightchoice.app/events/rafael-fiziev-vs-manuel-torres-prediction-2026-06-27
Lightweight
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres · Jun 27, 2026
In This Report
Prediction Intel
Stats Model Prediction
🔒 Prediction locked in before the fight · Predicted Jun 25, 2026, 09:05 UTC
Model Breakdown
Rafael Fiziev
Manuel Torres
Deep Learning Model α 25% weight
25.0%
75.0%
Deep Learning Model ξ 27% weight
62.9%
37.1%
Statistical Model β 25% weight
58.8%
41.2%
Statistical Model ε 23% weight
50.0%
50.0%
Ensemble
20.0%
80.0%
Predicted Winner
Manuel Torres
80.0%
Confidence
* Model output, not betting advice. Bet responsibly.
Predicted Duration
2nd Round at 3m20s (8m20s total)
Fighter Intel
Tale of the Tape
| Stat | Rafael Fiziev | Manuel Torres |
|---|---|---|
| UFC Record | 8-5 | 5-2 |
| Height | 5' 8" | 5' 10" |
| Weight | 155 lbs. | 155 lbs. |
| Reach | 71" | 73" |
| Stance | Switch | Switch |
| Age | 33 | 31 |
Records count UFC bouts only (wins-losses-no contests) — we have no verified pre-UFC record for both of these fighters.
Statistics Intel
Head-to-Head Statistics
The same per-round and advanced numbers each fighter's profile shows, side by side. The stronger value in each row is highlighted.
| Stat | Rafael Fiziev | Manuel Torres | UFC AVG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Per Round Average | |||
| Strikes | 20.8 | 15.5 | 13.2 |
| Strike accuracy | 52.9% | 55.6% | 43.9% |
| Takedowns | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.4 |
| Takedown accuracy | 71.4% | 66.7% | 32.9% |
| Sub attempts | 0 | 0.1 | 0.2 |
| Control time | 19.1s | 12.4s | 49.1s |
| Knockdowns | 0.09 | 0.50 | 0.08 |
| Knockdowns absorbed | 0.09 | 0.38 | 0.13 |
| Advanced Fighter Statistics | |||
| win rate Wins divided by this fighter's total recorded fights. | 61.5% | 80.0% | 45.6% |
| recent win rate Win rate over the last 5 recorded fights only — a form signal, not a career figure. | 40.0% | 60.0% | 37.5% |
| win streak Current run: a positive number is consecutive wins, a negative number consecutive losses. | 1 | -1 | -2 |
| total fights Total recorded fights, including bouts outside the UFC. | 13 | 20 | — |
| head strike share | 43.2% | 66.9% | — |
| body strike share | 39.1% | 26.6% | — |
| leg strike share | 17.7% | 6.5% | — |
| sig strikes absorbed Significant strikes opponents land on this fighter PER ROUND, counted from the round-by-round UFC stats across their scored rounds. Lower is better. | 21.24 | 11.38 | 15.22 |
| takedowns absorbed Takedowns opponents complete on this fighter PER ROUND, counted from the round-by-round UFC stats across their scored rounds. Lower is better. | 0.15 | 0.38 | 0.4 |
| cardio sig ratio This fighter's significant strikes landed in the LATER rounds divided by the EARLIER rounds. 1.0 is neutral: above it their output grows late, below it they fade. Shown only for fighters with at least 3 UFC bouts on record. | 0.81 | 0 | 0.52 |
| cardio defence ratio What OPPONENTS land on this fighter in the LATER rounds divided by what they land in the EARLIER rounds. 1.0 is neutral. LOWER is better — a high value means opponents find them more as the fight wears on. Shown only for fighters with at least 3 UFC bouts on record. | 1.06 | 0 | 0.56 |
| cardio takedown ratio This fighter's takedowns in the LATER rounds divided by the EARLIER rounds. 1.0 is neutral. Shown only for fighters with at least 3 UFC bouts on record. | 0.6 | 0 | 0.42 |
| is orthodox Whether the fighter's recorded stance is orthodox. | No | No | — |
| is southpaw Whether the fighter's recorded stance is southpaw. | No | No | — |
| switch stance Whether the fighter is recorded as switching stance. | Yes | Yes | — |
| finish rate Share of this fighter's WINS that came by finish, KO/TKO or submission. The denominator is wins, not fights. | 50.0% | 93.8% | 46.3% |
| KO win rate Share of this fighter's WINS that came by KO or TKO. The denominator is wins, not fights. | 50.0% | 50.0% | 27.7% |
| sub win rate Share of this fighter's WINS that came by submission. The denominator is wins, not fights. | 0.0% | 43.8% | 18.6% |
| been stopped rate Share of this fighter's LOSSES that ended by finish — the denominator is LOSSES, not fights. A fighter who is 20-1 whose single loss was a KO therefore reads 100%. | 60.0% | 100.0% | 52.3% |
| distance strike share | 86.7% | 71.8% | — |
| clinch strike share | 10.5% | 12.9% | — |
| ground strike share | 2.8% | 15.3% | — |
| avg fight duration (m:ss) Mean length of this fighter's UFC fights, in minutes and seconds. "—" means we hold no round-time data for them. | 11:32 | 2:56 | — |
| Elo rating A UFC-only Elo rating: it rises and falls with results, weighted by the opponent's rating. 1500 is the starting and dataset-average value. | 1,556.6 | 1,548.9 | 1500 |
| PageRank How central this fighter is in the network of who-fought-whom. It reflects the quality of opposition they have shared a cage with, not their skill. | 0.229 | 0.338 | 0.078 |
| career stage Form over the last 4 fights before this one: 3 or more wins reads Peak, 2 or fewer reads Decline, and fewer than 4 prior fights reads Early. | Decline | Decline | — |
Market Intel
Market Odds
| Sportsbook | Rafael Fiziev | Manuel Torres | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US | Decimal | US | Decimal | |
| Proline | -123 | 1.81 | -127 | 1.79 |
Line Movement
Decimal odds over time, by sportsbook
Rafael Fiziev
Manuel Torres
More from UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres
Shara Magomedov vs Michel Pereira Nazim Sadykhov vs Matheus Camilo Asu Almabayev vs Charles Johnson Ikram Aliskerov vs Brunno Ferreira Abus Magomedov vs Michal Oleksiejczuk Farman Hasanov vs Eric Nolan Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev vs Julius Walker Nursulton Ruziboev vs Andrey Pulyaev Kaan Ofli vs Javier Reyes Daniil Donchenko vs Theodor Berggren Bekzat Almakhan vs Jean Matsumoto Tahir Abdullayev vs Jefferson NascimentoPut your own money-free bets on Rafael Fiziev vs Manuel Torres
Create a free account to run any matchup through our AI ensemble of statistical models, track a fantasy bankroll, and bet the card. No card required.
Create your free account