FightChoice Intelligence Report
Nazim Sadykhov vs Matheus Camilo
https://fightchoice.app/events/nazim-sadykhov-vs-matheus-camilo-prediction-2026-06-27
Lightweight
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres · Jun 27, 2026
Stats Model Prediction
🔒 Prediction locked in before the fight · Predicted Jun 25, 2026, 09:05 UTC
Model Breakdown
Nazim Sadykhov
Matheus Camilo
Deep Learning Model α 25% weight
39.1%
60.9%
Deep Learning Model ξ 27% weight
62.9%
37.1%
Statistical Model β 25% weight
58.8%
41.2%
Statistical Model ε 23% weight
50.0%
50.0%
Ensemble
63.6%
36.4%
Predicted Winner
Nazim Sadykhov
63.6%
Confidence
* Model output, not betting advice. Bet responsibly.
*New fighters, prediction made with limited information
Predicted Duration
2nd Round at 4m10s (9m10s total)
Tale of the Tape
| Stat | Nazim Sadykhov | Matheus Camilo |
|---|---|---|
| Career Record | 11-3 | 11-3 |
| Height | 5' 10" | 5' 10" |
| Weight | 155 lbs. | 155 lbs. |
| Reach | 69" | 69" |
| Stance | Southpaw | Orthodox |
| Age | 32 | 25 |
Records are official career records, all promotions included.
Head-to-Head Statistics
The same per-round and advanced numbers each fighter's profile shows, side by side. The stronger value in each row is highlighted.
| Stat | Nazim Sadykhov | Matheus Camilo |
|---|---|---|
| Per Round Average | ||
| Strikes | 19.5 | 9.3 |
| Strike accuracy | 46.9% | 43.1% |
| Takedowns | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Takedown accuracy | 45.5% | 53.8% |
| Sub attempts | 0.1 | 0.2 |
| Control time | 32.1s | 59.2s |
| Knockdowns | 0.14 | 0.17 |
| Knockdowns absorbed | 0.29 | 0 |
| Advanced Fighter Statistics | ||
| win rate Wins divided by this fighter's total recorded fights. | 83.3% | 83.3% |
| recent win rate Win rate over the last 5 recorded fights only — a form signal, not a career figure. | 60.0% | 80.0% |
| win streak Current run: a positive number is consecutive wins, a negative number consecutive losses. | -2 | 2 |
| total fights Total recorded fights, including bouts outside the UFC. | 18 | 6 |
| head strike share | 62.6% | 64.3% |
| body strike share | 25.3% | 17.9% |
| leg strike share | 12.1% | 17.9% |
| sig strikes absorbed Significant strikes opponents land on this fighter PER ROUND, counted from the round-by-round UFC stats across their scored rounds. Lower is better. | 18.45 | 12.83 |
| takedowns absorbed Takedowns opponents complete on this fighter PER ROUND, counted from the round-by-round UFC stats across their scored rounds. Lower is better. | 0.45 | 0 |
| cardio sig ratio This fighter's significant strikes landed in the LATER rounds divided by the EARLIER rounds. 1.0 is neutral: above it their output grows late, below it they fade. Shown only for fighters with at least 3 UFC bouts on record. | 0.08 | 0.61 |
| cardio defence ratio What OPPONENTS land on this fighter in the LATER rounds divided by what they land in the EARLIER rounds. 1.0 is neutral. LOWER is better — a high value means opponents find them more as the fight wears on. Shown only for fighters with at least 3 UFC bouts on record. | 0.03 | 2.31 |
| cardio takedown ratio This fighter's takedowns in the LATER rounds divided by the EARLIER rounds. 1.0 is neutral. Shown only for fighters with at least 3 UFC bouts on record. | 0.000 | 0.33 |
| is orthodox Whether the fighter's recorded stance is orthodox. | No | Yes |
| is southpaw Whether the fighter's recorded stance is southpaw. | Yes | No |
| switch stance Whether the fighter is recorded as switching stance. | No | No |
| finish rate Share of this fighter's WINS that came by finish, KO/TKO or submission. The denominator is wins, not fights. | 80.0% | 60.0% |
| KO win rate Share of this fighter's WINS that came by KO or TKO. The denominator is wins, not fights. | 66.7% | 40.0% |
| sub win rate Share of this fighter's WINS that came by submission. The denominator is wins, not fights. | 13.3% | 20.0% |
| been stopped rate Share of this fighter's LOSSES that ended by finish — the denominator is LOSSES, not fights. A fighter who is 20-1 whose single loss was a KO therefore reads 100%. | 100.0% | 100.0% |
| distance strike share | 73.6% | 91.1% |
| clinch strike share | 24.2% | 1.8% |
| ground strike share | 2.2% | 7.1% |
| avg fight duration (m:ss) Mean length of this fighter's UFC fights, in minutes and seconds. "—" means we hold no round-time data for them. | 7:05 | 8:25 |
| Elo rating A UFC-only Elo rating: it rises and falls with results, weighted by the opponent's rating. 1500 is the starting and dataset-average value. | 1,528.0 | 1,517.0 |
| PageRank How central this fighter is in the network of who-fought-whom. It reflects the quality of opposition they have shared a cage with, not their skill. | 0.158 | 0.066 |
| career stage Form over the last 4 fights before this one: 3 or more wins reads Peak, 2 or fewer reads Decline, and fewer than 4 prior fights reads Early. | Decline | Peak |
Market Odds
| Sportsbook | Nazim Sadykhov | Matheus Camilo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US | Decimal | US | Decimal | |
| Proline | -227 | 1.44 | +140 | 2.40 |
Line Movement
Decimal odds over time, by sportsbook
Nazim Sadykhov
Matheus Camilo
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