FightChoice Intelligence Report

Ramiro Jimenez
vs
Rodrigo Vera

Ramiro Jimenez vs Rodrigo Vera

https://fightchoice.app/events/ramiro-jimenez-vs-rodrigo-vera-prediction-2026-09-12

Featherweight

Noche UFC: Rodriguez vs. Silva · Sep 12, 2026

Stats Model Prediction

🔒 Prediction locked in before the fight · Predicted Aug 22, 2026, 06:03 UTC

Model Breakdown
Ramiro Jimenez Rodrigo Vera
Deep Learning Model α 25% weight 36.8% 63.2%
Deep Learning Model ξ 27% weight 49.0% 51.0%
Statistical Model β 25% weight 50.0% 50.0%
Statistical Model ε 23% weight 50.0% 50.0%
Ensemble 45.0% 55.0%
Predicted Winner
Rodrigo Vera
55.0%
Confidence
* Model output, not betting advice. Bet responsibly.

*New fighters, prediction made with limited information

Predicted Duration
2nd Round at 1m15s (6m15s total)

Chance the Fight Is Still Going

28% Chance of Decision

The dashed line is 50%. The round where the curve crosses it is the round named above — the midpoint of the distribution, not necessarily its single most likely outcome.

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How Similar Fights Ended

2 historical bouts

Not enough similar fights on record to quote a rate for this profile.

Fights with a similar mismatch

Every fighter is reduced to a profile of 37 career measures as they stood going into the fight, standardised so that no single measure dominates merely for having bigger units — a far wider read than the six charted below. The bout is then described by the gap between the two: how far apart they were on each of those measures, setting aside which one was ahead. The fights listed here are those whose gaps line up most closely with this one. Because the match is on the shape of a mismatch rather than on a weight class or an era, a neighbour can come from an entirely different division.

Fight Ramiro Jimenez Rodrigo Vera
59% How closely the gap between these two fighters resembles the gap in that historical bout — the size and shape of the mismatch, not the fighters themselves. Two completely different pairs can produce the same mismatch. 100% would be an identical gap; two fights picked at random score about 36%, so a number near that means there is no real comparable on record. Match
Mar 27, 2021
UFC 260: Miocic vs. Ngannou
Middleweight
Marc-Andre Barriault Winner
Finish 3rd Rnd, 4m56s
Fight Performance
Strikes (Per Rnd)
47
Strike accuracy
51.3%
Takedowns (Per Rnd)
0
Takedown accuracy
0%
Sub attempts (Per Rnd)
0
Control time (Per Rnd)
120s
Abu Azaitar
Fight Performance
Strikes (Per Rnd)
36
Strike accuracy
49.3%
Takedowns (Per Rnd)
0
Takedown accuracy
0%
Sub attempts (Per Rnd)
0
Control time (Per Rnd)
41s
55% How closely the gap between these two fighters resembles the gap in that historical bout — the size and shape of the mismatch, not the fighters themselves. Two completely different pairs can produce the same mismatch. 100% would be an identical gap; two fights picked at random score about 36%, so a number near that means there is no real comparable on record. Match
Apr 21, 2007
UFC 70: Nations Collide
Heavyweight
Cheick Kongo Winner
Decision 3rd Rnd, 5m00s
Fight Performance
Strikes (Per Rnd)
21.3
Strike accuracy
56.6%
Takedowns (Per Rnd)
0
Takedown accuracy
—
Sub attempts (Per Rnd)
0.3
Control time (Per Rnd)
59.3s
Assuerio Silva
Fight Performance
Strikes (Per Rnd)
4.3
Strike accuracy
54.2%
Takedowns (Per Rnd)
2
Takedown accuracy
50%
Sub attempts (Per Rnd)
0
Control time (Per Rnd)
143.7s
54% How closely the gap between these two fighters resembles the gap in that historical bout — the size and shape of the mismatch, not the fighters themselves. Two completely different pairs can produce the same mismatch. 100% would be an identical gap; two fights picked at random score about 36%, so a number near that means there is no real comparable on record. Match
May 10, 2025
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena
Bantamweight
Brad Katona
Fight Performance
Strikes (Per Rnd)
1
Strike accuracy
25%
Takedowns (Per Rnd)
0
Takedown accuracy
—
Sub attempts (Per Rnd)
0
Control time (Per Rnd)
0s
Bekzat Almakhan Winner
Finish 1st Rnd, 1m04s
Fight Performance
Strikes (Per Rnd)
8
Strike accuracy
72.7%
Takedowns (Per Rnd)
0
Takedown accuracy
—
Sub attempts (Per Rnd)
0
Control time (Per Rnd)
2s
51% How closely the gap between these two fighters resembles the gap in that historical bout — the size and shape of the mismatch, not the fighters themselves. Two completely different pairs can produce the same mismatch. 100% would be an identical gap; two fights picked at random score about 36%, so a number near that means there is no real comparable on record. Match
Aug 28, 2010
UFC 118: Edgar vs Penn 2
Lightweight
Joe Lauzon Winner
Finish 1st Rnd, 2m01s
Fight Performance
Strikes (Per Rnd)
19
Strike accuracy
67.9%
Takedowns (Per Rnd)
2
Takedown accuracy
66.7%
Sub attempts (Per Rnd)
1
Control time (Per Rnd)
93s
Gabe Ruediger
Fight Performance
Strikes (Per Rnd)
1
Strike accuracy
12.5%
Takedowns (Per Rnd)
0
Takedown accuracy
—
Sub attempts (Per Rnd)
0
Control time (Per Rnd)
0s
51% How closely the gap between these two fighters resembles the gap in that historical bout — the size and shape of the mismatch, not the fighters themselves. Two completely different pairs can produce the same mismatch. 100% would be an identical gap; two fights picked at random score about 36%, so a number near that means there is no real comparable on record. Match
Nov 7, 2020
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Teixeira
Bantamweight
Gustavo Lopez Winner
Finish 1st Rnd, 2m43s
Fight Performance
Strikes (Per Rnd)
26
Strike accuracy
60.5%
Takedowns (Per Rnd)
2
Takedown accuracy
66.7%
Sub attempts (Per Rnd)
1
Control time (Per Rnd)
66s
Anthony Birchak
Fight Performance
Strikes (Per Rnd)
17
Strike accuracy
42.5%
Takedowns (Per Rnd)
0
Takedown accuracy
—
Sub attempts (Per Rnd)
0
Control time (Per Rnd)
0s
51% How closely the gap between these two fighters resembles the gap in that historical bout — the size and shape of the mismatch, not the fighters themselves. Two completely different pairs can produce the same mismatch. 100% would be an identical gap; two fights picked at random score about 36%, so a number near that means there is no real comparable on record. Match
Mar 21, 2015
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs LaFlare
Women's Bantamweight
Amanda Nunes Winner
Finish 1st Rnd, 1m56s
Fight Performance
Strikes (Per Rnd)
15
Strike accuracy
88.2%
Takedowns (Per Rnd)
0
Takedown accuracy
—
Sub attempts (Per Rnd)
0
Control time (Per Rnd)
1s
Shayna Baszler
Fight Performance
Strikes (Per Rnd)
1
Strike accuracy
12.5%
Takedowns (Per Rnd)
0
Takedown accuracy
0%
Sub attempts (Per Rnd)
0
Control time (Per Rnd)
1s
50% How closely the gap between these two fighters resembles the gap in that historical bout — the size and shape of the mismatch, not the fighters themselves. Two completely different pairs can produce the same mismatch. 100% would be an identical gap; two fights picked at random score about 36%, so a number near that means there is no real comparable on record. Match
Oct 6, 2018
UFC 229: Khabib vs. McGregor
Women's Bantamweight
Aspen Ladd Winner
Finish 1st Rnd, 3m26s
Fight Performance
Strikes (Per Rnd)
50
Strike accuracy
68.5%
Takedowns (Per Rnd)
0
Takedown accuracy
—
Sub attempts (Per Rnd)
0
Control time (Per Rnd)
113s
Tonya Evinger
Fight Performance
Strikes (Per Rnd)
9
Strike accuracy
56.3%
Takedowns (Per Rnd)
0
Takedown accuracy
0%
Sub attempts (Per Rnd)
0
Control time (Per Rnd)
62s
49% How closely the gap between these two fighters resembles the gap in that historical bout — the size and shape of the mismatch, not the fighters themselves. Two completely different pairs can produce the same mismatch. 100% would be an identical gap; two fights picked at random score about 36%, so a number near that means there is no real comparable on record. Match
Jan 18, 2015
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Siver
Flyweight
Paddy Holohan Winner
Decision 3rd Rnd, 5m00s
Fight Performance
Strikes (Per Rnd)
14
Strike accuracy
56.8%
Takedowns (Per Rnd)
1
Takedown accuracy
75%
Sub attempts (Per Rnd)
0.7
Control time (Per Rnd)
198.7s
Shane Howell
Fight Performance
Strikes (Per Rnd)
7.3
Strike accuracy
34.4%
Takedowns (Per Rnd)
0
Takedown accuracy
—
Sub attempts (Per Rnd)
0
Control time (Per Rnd)
5.3s
49% How closely the gap between these two fighters resembles the gap in that historical bout — the size and shape of the mismatch, not the fighters themselves. Two completely different pairs can produce the same mismatch. 100% would be an identical gap; two fights picked at random score about 36%, so a number near that means there is no real comparable on record. Match
Feb 15, 2012
UFC on FUEL TV: Sanchez vs Ellenberger
Bantamweight
TJ Dillashaw Winner
Decision 3rd Rnd, 5m00s
Fight Performance
Strikes (Per Rnd)
28.3
Strike accuracy
74.6%
Takedowns (Per Rnd)
1
Takedown accuracy
42.9%
Sub attempts (Per Rnd)
1.7
Control time (Per Rnd)
248s
Walel Watson
Fight Performance
Strikes (Per Rnd)
3.7
Strike accuracy
33.3%
Takedowns (Per Rnd)
0
Takedown accuracy
—
Sub attempts (Per Rnd)
0.3
Control time (Per Rnd)
0s
48% How closely the gap between these two fighters resembles the gap in that historical bout — the size and shape of the mismatch, not the fighters themselves. Two completely different pairs can produce the same mismatch. 100% would be an identical gap; two fights picked at random score about 36%, so a number near that means there is no real comparable on record. Match
Nov 20, 2021
UFC Fight Night: Vieira vs. Tate
Women's Strawweight
Luana Pinheiro Winner
Decision 3rd Rnd, 5m00s
Fight Performance
Strikes (Per Rnd)
20
Strike accuracy
37.7%
Takedowns (Per Rnd)
0.7
Takedown accuracy
66.7%
Sub attempts (Per Rnd)
0.3
Control time (Per Rnd)
42.3s
Sam Hughes
Fight Performance
Strikes (Per Rnd)
17.7
Strike accuracy
40.8%
Takedowns (Per Rnd)
0
Takedown accuracy
—
Sub attempts (Per Rnd)
0
Control time (Per Rnd)
6.3s
48% How closely the gap between these two fighters resembles the gap in that historical bout — the size and shape of the mismatch, not the fighters themselves. Two completely different pairs can produce the same mismatch. 100% would be an identical gap; two fights picked at random score about 36%, so a number near that means there is no real comparable on record. Match
Jan 20, 2021
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Magny
Flyweight
Sumudaerji Winner
Decision 3rd Rnd, 5m00s
Fight Performance
Strikes (Per Rnd)
16.7
Strike accuracy
39.4%
Takedowns (Per Rnd)
0
Takedown accuracy
—
Sub attempts (Per Rnd)
0
Control time (Per Rnd)
0s
Zarrukh Adashev
Fight Performance
Strikes (Per Rnd)
9.3
Strike accuracy
22.8%
Takedowns (Per Rnd)
0
Takedown accuracy
0%
Sub attempts (Per Rnd)
0
Control time (Per Rnd)
0.7s
47% How closely the gap between these two fighters resembles the gap in that historical bout — the size and shape of the mismatch, not the fighters themselves. Two completely different pairs can produce the same mismatch. 100% would be an identical gap; two fights picked at random score about 36%, so a number near that means there is no real comparable on record. Match
Aug 8, 2009
UFC 101: Declaration
Lightweight
Aaron Riley Winner
Decision 3rd Rnd, 5m00s
Fight Performance
Strikes (Per Rnd)
16.7
Strike accuracy
41%
Takedowns (Per Rnd)
0.7
Takedown accuracy
40%
Sub attempts (Per Rnd)
0
Control time (Per Rnd)
155s
Shane Nelson
Fight Performance
Strikes (Per Rnd)
9.3
Strike accuracy
37.8%
Takedowns (Per Rnd)
0
Takedown accuracy
0%
Sub attempts (Per Rnd)
0
Control time (Per Rnd)
0.3s
47% How closely the gap between these two fighters resembles the gap in that historical bout — the size and shape of the mismatch, not the fighters themselves. Two completely different pairs can produce the same mismatch. 100% would be an identical gap; two fights picked at random score about 36%, so a number near that means there is no real comparable on record. Match
May 16, 2015
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs Faber
Featherweight
Phillipe Nover Winner
Decision 3rd Rnd, 5m00s
Fight Performance
Strikes (Per Rnd)
4
Strike accuracy
50%
Takedowns (Per Rnd)
2
Takedown accuracy
50%
Sub attempts (Per Rnd)
0
Control time (Per Rnd)
126.7s
Yui Chul Nam
Fight Performance
Strikes (Per Rnd)
9.7
Strike accuracy
48.3%
Takedowns (Per Rnd)
0.7
Takedown accuracy
66.7%
Sub attempts (Per Rnd)
0.3
Control time (Per Rnd)
130.7s
47% How closely the gap between these two fighters resembles the gap in that historical bout — the size and shape of the mismatch, not the fighters themselves. Two completely different pairs can produce the same mismatch. 100% would be an identical gap; two fights picked at random score about 36%, so a number near that means there is no real comparable on record. Match
May 23, 2009
UFC 98: Evans vs Machida
Light Heavyweight
Krzysztof Soszynski Winner
Finish 1st Rnd, 3m17s
Fight Performance
Strikes (Per Rnd)
18
Strike accuracy
36%
Takedowns (Per Rnd)
0
Takedown accuracy
—
Sub attempts (Per Rnd)
0
Control time (Per Rnd)
16s
Andre Gusmao
Fight Performance
Strikes (Per Rnd)
17
Strike accuracy
51.5%
Takedowns (Per Rnd)
0
Takedown accuracy
—
Sub attempts (Per Rnd)
0
Control time (Per Rnd)
3s
46% How closely the gap between these two fighters resembles the gap in that historical bout — the size and shape of the mismatch, not the fighters themselves. Two completely different pairs can produce the same mismatch. 100% would be an identical gap; two fights picked at random score about 36%, so a number near that means there is no real comparable on record. Match
Oct 13, 2012
UFC 153: Silva vs Bonnar
Featherweight
Diego Brandao Winner
Decision 3rd Rnd, 5m00s
Fight Performance
Strikes (Per Rnd)
11
Strike accuracy
42.9%
Takedowns (Per Rnd)
1
Takedown accuracy
75%
Sub attempts (Per Rnd)
0
Control time (Per Rnd)
111.3s
Joey Gambino
Fight Performance
Strikes (Per Rnd)
13
Strike accuracy
35.8%
Takedowns (Per Rnd)
0
Takedown accuracy
0%
Sub attempts (Per Rnd)
0.3
Control time (Per Rnd)
12.7s

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Tale of the Tape

Stat Ramiro Jimenez Rodrigo Vera
UFC Record — 1-0
Height 5' 9" —
Weight 145 lbs. 145 lbs.
Reach 73" —
Stance Southpaw —
Age 27 30

Records count UFC bouts only (wins-losses-no contests) — we have no verified pre-UFC record for both of these fighters.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The same per-round and advanced numbers each fighter's profile shows, side by side. The stronger value in each row is highlighted.

No recorded UFC statistics for Ramiro Jimenez.

Stat Ramiro Jimenez Rodrigo Vera
Per Round Average
Strikes — 17
Strike accuracy — 58.6%
Takedowns — 1
Takedown accuracy — 100%
Sub attempts — 0
Control time — 41s
Knockdowns — 1
Knockdowns absorbed — 0
Advanced Fighter Statistics
win rate Wins divided by this fighter's total recorded fights. — 100.0%
recent win rate Win rate over the last 5 recorded fights only — a form signal, not a career figure. — 100.0%
win streak Current run: a positive number is consecutive wins, a negative number consecutive losses. — 8
total fights Total recorded fights, including bouts outside the UFC. — 8
head strike share Share of this fighter's landed significant strikes that went to the head. Head, body and leg sum to 100%. — 76.5%
body strike share Share of this fighter's landed significant strikes that went to the body. Head, body and leg sum to 100%. — 5.9%
leg strike share Share of this fighter's landed significant strikes that went to the legs. Head, body and leg sum to 100%. — 17.6%
sig strikes absorbed Significant strikes opponents land on this fighter PER ROUND, counted from the round-by-round UFC stats across their scored rounds. Lower is better. — 7
takedowns absorbed Takedowns opponents complete on this fighter PER ROUND, counted from the round-by-round UFC stats across their scored rounds. Lower is better. — 0
is orthodox Whether the fighter's recorded stance is orthodox. — No
is southpaw Whether the fighter's recorded stance is southpaw. — No
switch stance Whether the fighter is recorded as switching stance. — No
finish rate Share of this fighter's WINS that came by finish, KO/TKO or submission. The denominator is wins, not fights. — 25.0%
KO win rate Share of this fighter's WINS that came by KO or TKO. The denominator is wins, not fights. — 25.0%
sub win rate Share of this fighter's WINS that came by submission. The denominator is wins, not fights. — 0.0%
been stopped rate Share of this fighter's LOSSES that ended by finish — the denominator is LOSSES, not fights. A fighter who is 20-1 whose single loss was a KO therefore reads 100%. — 0.0%
distance strike share Share of this fighter's landed significant strikes thrown at distance. Distance, clinch and ground sum to 100%. — 41.2%
clinch strike share Share of this fighter's landed significant strikes thrown in the clinch. Distance, clinch and ground sum to 100%. — 5.9%
ground strike share Share of this fighter's landed significant strikes thrown on the ground. Distance, clinch and ground sum to 100%. — 52.9%
avg fight duration (m:ss) Mean length of this fighter's UFC fights, in minutes and seconds. "—" means we hold no round-time data for them. — 1:50
Elo rating A UFC-only Elo rating: it rises and falls with results, weighted by the opponent's rating. 1500 is the starting and dataset-average value. — 1516
PageRank How central this fighter is in the network of who-fought-whom. It reflects the quality of opposition they have shared a cage with, not their skill. — 0.087
career stage Form over the last 4 fights before this one: 3 or more wins reads Peak, 2 or fewer reads Decline, and fewer than 4 prior fights reads Early. — Peak

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