FightChoice Intelligence Report
Xiao Long vs Francesco Nuzzi
https://fightchoice.app/events/xiao-long-vs-francesco-nuzzi-prediction-2026-08-29
Bantamweight
UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song · Aug 29, 2026
In This Report
Prediction Intel
Stats Model Prediction
We haven't generated a prediction for this matchup yet — check back soon.
Fighter Intel
Tale of the Tape
| Stat | Xiao Long | Francesco Nuzzi |
|---|---|---|
| Career Record | 25-12 | 12-2 |
| Height | 5' 8" | 5' 6" |
| Weight | 135 lbs. | 135 lbs. |
| Reach | 70" | 71" |
| Stance | Orthodox | Southpaw |
| Age | 28 | 30 |
Records are official career records, all promotions included.
Statistics Intel
Head-to-Head Statistics
The same per-round and advanced numbers each fighter's profile shows, side by side. The stronger value in each row is highlighted.
| Stat | Xiao Long | Francesco Nuzzi |
|---|---|---|
| Per Round Average | ||
| Strikes | 22 | 11 |
| Strike accuracy | 45.8% | 55% |
| Takedowns | 0.2 | 0 |
| Takedown accuracy | 30% | 0% |
| Sub attempts | 0 | 0 |
| Control time | 36.3s | 2s |
| Knockdowns | 0.08 | 1 |
| Knockdowns absorbed | 0.08 | 0 |
| Advanced Fighter Statistics | ||
| win rate Wins divided by this fighter's total recorded fights. | 41.7% | 77.8% |
| recent win rate Win rate over the last 5 recorded fights only — a form signal, not a career figure. | 20.0% | 80.0% |
| win streak Current run: a positive number is consecutive wins, a negative number consecutive losses. | -3 | 2 |
| total fights Total recorded fights, including bouts outside the UFC. | 12 | 18 |
| head strike share | 54.9% | 81.8% |
| body strike share | 24.1% | 18.2% |
| leg strike share | 21.0% | 0.0% |
| sig strikes absorbed Significant strikes opponents land on this fighter PER ROUND, counted from the round-by-round UFC stats across their scored rounds. Lower is better. | 18.85 | 4 |
| takedowns absorbed Takedowns opponents complete on this fighter PER ROUND, counted from the round-by-round UFC stats across their scored rounds. Lower is better. | 0.23 | 0 |
| cardio sig ratio This fighter's significant strikes landed in the LATER rounds divided by the EARLIER rounds. 1.0 is neutral: above it their output grows late, below it they fade. Shown only for fighters with at least 3 UFC bouts on record. | 0.92 | — |
| cardio defence ratio What OPPONENTS land on this fighter in the LATER rounds divided by what they land in the EARLIER rounds. 1.0 is neutral. LOWER is better — a high value means opponents find them more as the fight wears on. Shown only for fighters with at least 3 UFC bouts on record. | 0.79 | — |
| cardio takedown ratio This fighter's takedowns in the LATER rounds divided by the EARLIER rounds. 1.0 is neutral. Shown only for fighters with at least 3 UFC bouts on record. | 2 | — |
| is orthodox Whether the fighter's recorded stance is orthodox. | Yes | No |
| is southpaw Whether the fighter's recorded stance is southpaw. | No | Yes |
| switch stance Whether the fighter is recorded as switching stance. | No | No |
| finish rate Share of this fighter's WINS that came by finish, KO/TKO or submission. The denominator is wins, not fights. | 60.0% | 71.4% |
| KO win rate Share of this fighter's WINS that came by KO or TKO. The denominator is wins, not fights. | 20.0% | 42.9% |
| sub win rate Share of this fighter's WINS that came by submission. The denominator is wins, not fights. | 40.0% | 28.6% |
| been stopped rate Share of this fighter's LOSSES that ended by finish — the denominator is LOSSES, not fights. A fighter who is 20-1 whose single loss was a KO therefore reads 100%. | 28.6% | 75.0% |
| distance strike share | 69.6% | 54.5% |
| clinch strike share | 28.0% | 27.3% |
| ground strike share | 2.4% | 18.2% |
| avg fight duration (m:ss) Mean length of this fighter's UFC fights, in minutes and seconds. "—" means we hold no round-time data for them. | 11:30 | 1:00 |
| Elo rating A UFC-only Elo rating: it rises and falls with results, weighted by the opponent's rating. 1500 is the starting and dataset-average value. | 1,457.1 | 1,514.7 |
| PageRank How central this fighter is in the network of who-fought-whom. It reflects the quality of opposition they have shared a cage with, not their skill. | 0.045 | 0.164 |
| career stage Form over the last 4 fights before this one: 3 or more wins reads Peak, 2 or fewer reads Decline, and fewer than 4 prior fights reads Early. | Decline | Peak |
Market Intel
Market Odds
| Sportsbook | Xiao Long | Francesco Nuzzi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US | Decimal | US | Decimal | |
| Proline | -192 | 1.52 | +120 | 2.20 |
| DraftKings | -169 | 1.59 | +142 | 2.42 |
| FanDuel | -172 | 1.58 | +144 | 2.44 |
| BetMGM | -179 | 1.56 | +145 | 2.45 |
| Bovada | -169 | 1.59 | +145 | 2.45 |
| BetOnline | -164 | 1.61 | +145 | 2.45 |
Odds captured Aug 29, 2026, 6:02 AM
Line Movement
Decimal odds over time, by sportsbook
Xiao Long
Francesco Nuzzi
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