FightChoice Intelligence Report
Lawrence Lui vs Hector Santiago
https://fightchoice.app/events/lawrence-lui-vs-hector-santiago-prediction-2026-08-29
Bantamweight
UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song · Aug 29, 2026
In This Report
Prediction Intel
Stats Model Prediction
We haven't generated a prediction for this matchup yet — check back soon.
Fighter Intel
Tale of the Tape
| Stat | Lawrence Lui | Hector Santiago |
|---|---|---|
| Career Record | 6-2 | 7-1 |
| Height | 5' 7" | 5' 5" |
| Weight | 135 lbs. | 135 lbs. |
| Reach | 72" | 68" |
| Stance | Orthodox | Orthodox |
| Age | 30 | 33 |
Records are official career records, all promotions included.
Statistics Intel
Head-to-Head Statistics
The same per-round and advanced numbers each fighter's profile shows, side by side. The stronger value in each row is highlighted.
| Stat | Lawrence Lui | Hector Santiago |
|---|---|---|
| Per Round Average | ||
| Strikes | 16.8 | 15 |
| Strike accuracy | 40.2% | 27% |
| Takedowns | 1.4 | 0 |
| Takedown accuracy | 43.8% | 0% |
| Sub attempts | 0 | 0 |
| Control time | 60s | 3.5s |
| Knockdowns | 0 | 0.50 |
| Knockdowns absorbed | 0.20 | 0 |
| Advanced Fighter Statistics | ||
| win rate Wins divided by this fighter's total recorded fights. | 72.7% | 80.0% |
| recent win rate Win rate over the last 5 recorded fights only — a form signal, not a career figure. | 60.0% | 80.0% |
| win streak Current run: a positive number is consecutive wins, a negative number consecutive losses. | -1 | 3 |
| total fights Total recorded fights, including bouts outside the UFC. | 11 | 10 |
| head strike share | 72.6% | 80.0% |
| body strike share | 10.7% | 20.0% |
| leg strike share | 16.7% | 0.0% |
| sig strikes absorbed Significant strikes opponents land on this fighter PER ROUND, counted from the round-by-round UFC stats across their scored rounds. Lower is better. | 17.2 | 16 |
| takedowns absorbed Takedowns opponents complete on this fighter PER ROUND, counted from the round-by-round UFC stats across their scored rounds. Lower is better. | 0 | 0 |
| is orthodox Whether the fighter's recorded stance is orthodox. | Yes | Yes |
| is southpaw Whether the fighter's recorded stance is southpaw. | No | No |
| switch stance Whether the fighter is recorded as switching stance. | No | No |
| finish rate Share of this fighter's WINS that came by finish, KO/TKO or submission. The denominator is wins, not fights. | 50.0% | 87.5% |
| KO win rate Share of this fighter's WINS that came by KO or TKO. The denominator is wins, not fights. | 50.0% | 87.5% |
| sub win rate Share of this fighter's WINS that came by submission. The denominator is wins, not fights. | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| been stopped rate Share of this fighter's LOSSES that ended by finish — the denominator is LOSSES, not fights. A fighter who is 20-1 whose single loss was a KO therefore reads 100%. | 33.3% | 50.0% |
| distance strike share | 83.3% | 86.7% |
| clinch strike share | 8.3% | 0.0% |
| ground strike share | 8.3% | 13.3% |
| avg fight duration (m:ss) Mean length of this fighter's UFC fights, in minutes and seconds. "—" means we hold no round-time data for them. | 10:27 | 5:53 |
| Elo rating A UFC-only Elo rating: it rises and falls with results, weighted by the opponent's rating. 1500 is the starting and dataset-average value. | 1,499.3 | 1,516.7 |
| PageRank How central this fighter is in the network of who-fought-whom. It reflects the quality of opposition they have shared a cage with, not their skill. | 0.058 | 0.069 |
| career stage Form over the last 4 fights before this one: 3 or more wins reads Peak, 2 or fewer reads Decline, and fewer than 4 prior fights reads Early. | Peak | Peak |
Market Intel
Market Odds
| Sportsbook | Lawrence Lui | Hector Santiago | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US | Decimal | US | Decimal | |
| Proline | -417 | 1.24 | +235 | 3.35 |
| DraftKings | -357 | 1.28 | +285 | 3.85 |
| FanDuel | -345 | 1.29 | +275 | 3.75 |
| BetMGM | -303 | 1.33 | +240 | 3.40 |
| Bovada | -333 | 1.30 | +270 | 3.70 |
| BetOnline | -333 | 1.30 | +267 | 3.67 |
Odds captured Aug 29, 2026, 6:02 AM
Line Movement
Decimal odds over time, by sportsbook
Lawrence Lui
Hector Santiago
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