FightChoice Intelligence Report
Nick Klein vs Joe Kropschot
https://fightchoice.app/events/nick-klein-vs-joe-kropschot-prediction-2026-10-31
Middleweight
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Nolan · Oct 31, 2026
In This Report
Prediction Intel
Stats Model Prediction
🔒 Prediction locked in before the fight · Predicted Oct 10, 2026, 00:06 UTC
AI Reasoning (why the models picked this)
Nick Klein is favored by the ensemble prediction. Key factors driving this include N.K.'s reach advantage over J.K. across multiple models, and J.K.'s age disadvantage. Despite some models favoring J.K. on specific metrics like win rate and height, the combined prediction leans towards Nick Klein.
- Statistical Model β: Model β favors Nick Klein, citing J.K.'s reach disadvantage and N.K.'s past prime status, despite N.K.'s lower win rate.
- Statistical Model ε: Model ε favors Nick Klein, emphasizing N.K.'s reach, weight, and age advantages over J.K., along with J.K.'s distance striking.
AI-generated from the model outputs above — wording may occasionally be imprecise.
*New fighters, prediction made with limited information
Chance the Fight Is Still Going
The dashed line is 50%. The round where the curve crosses it is the round named above — the midpoint of the distribution, not necessarily its single most likely outcome.
Fighter Intel
Tale of the Tape
| Stat | Nick Klein | Joe Kropschot |
|---|---|---|
| Career Record | 6-3 | 9-3 |
| Height | 6' 1" | — |
| Weight | 185 lbs. | — |
| Reach | 77" | — |
| Stance | Orthodox | — |
| Age | 31 | — |
Records are official career records, all promotions included.
Statistics Intel
Head-to-Head Statistics
The same per-round and advanced numbers each fighter's profile shows, side by side. The stronger value in each row is highlighted.
| Stat | Nick Klein | Joe Kropschot |
|---|---|---|
| Per Round Average | ||
| Strikes | 9.5 | — |
| Strike accuracy | 56.7% | — |
| Takedowns | 1.3 | — |
| Takedown accuracy | 31.3% | — |
| Sub attempts | 0.3 | — |
| Control time | 116.5s | — |
| Knockdowns | 0 | — |
| Knockdowns absorbed | 0.25 | — |
| Advanced Fighter Statistics | ||
| win rate Wins divided by this fighter's total recorded fights. | 78.6% | 93.3% |
| recent win rate Win rate over the last 5 recorded fights only — a form signal, not a career figure. | 60.0% | 100.0% |
| win streak Current run: a positive number is consecutive wins, a negative number consecutive losses. | -2 | 5 |
| total fights Total recorded fights, including bouts outside the UFC. | 14 | 15 |
| head strike share | 26.3% | 0.0% |
| body strike share | 18.4% | 0.0% |
| leg strike share | 55.3% | 0.0% |
| sig strikes absorbed Significant strikes opponents land on this fighter PER ROUND, counted from the round-by-round UFC stats across their scored rounds. Lower is better. | 13 | 1.374 |
| takedowns absorbed Takedowns opponents complete on this fighter PER ROUND, counted from the round-by-round UFC stats across their scored rounds. Lower is better. | 0.25 | 0.747 |
| is orthodox Whether the fighter's recorded stance is orthodox. | Yes | No |
| is southpaw Whether the fighter's recorded stance is southpaw. | No | No |
| switch stance Whether the fighter is recorded as switching stance. | No | No |
| finish rate Share of this fighter's WINS that came by finish, KO/TKO or submission. The denominator is wins, not fights. | 90.9% | 85.7% |
| KO win rate Share of this fighter's WINS that came by KO or TKO. The denominator is wins, not fights. | 45.5% | 14.3% |
| sub win rate Share of this fighter's WINS that came by submission. The denominator is wins, not fights. | 45.5% | 71.4% |
| been stopped rate Share of this fighter's LOSSES that ended by finish — the denominator is LOSSES, not fights. A fighter who is 20-1 whose single loss was a KO therefore reads 100%. | 100.0% | 100.0% |
| distance strike share | 76.3% | 0.0% |
| clinch strike share | 23.7% | 0.0% |
| ground strike share | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| avg fight duration (m:ss) Mean length of this fighter's UFC fights, in minutes and seconds. "—" means we hold no round-time data for them. | 7:28 | — |
| Elo rating A UFC-only Elo rating: it rises and falls with results, weighted by the opponent's rating. 1500 is the starting and dataset-average value. | 1,468.7 | 1500 |
| PageRank How central this fighter is in the network of who-fought-whom. It reflects the quality of opposition they have shared a cage with, not their skill. | 0.078 | 0.091 |
| career stage Form over the last 4 fights before this one: 3 or more wins reads Peak, 2 or fewer reads Decline, and fewer than 4 prior fights reads Early. | Decline | Peak |
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