FightChoice Intelligence Report
Ce Liu vs Junior Tafa
https://fightchoice.app/events/ce-liu-vs-junior-tafa-prediction-2026-08-29
Light Heavyweight
UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song · Aug 29, 2026
Tale of the Tape
| Stat | Ce Liu | Junior Tafa |
|---|---|---|
| Career Record | 3-1 | 7-6 |
| Height | — | 6' 3" |
| Weight | — | 205 lbs. |
| Reach | — | 75" |
| Stance | — | Orthodox |
| Age | — | 29 |
Records are official career records, all promotions included.
Head-to-Head Statistics
The same per-round and advanced numbers each fighter's profile shows, side by side. The stronger value in each row is highlighted.
| Stat | Ce Liu | Junior Tafa |
|---|---|---|
| Per Round Average | ||
| Strikes | — | 13.3 |
| Strike accuracy | — | 52.1% |
| Takedowns | — | 0 |
| Takedown accuracy | — | 0% |
| Sub attempts | — | 0 |
| Control time | — | 3.3s |
| Knockdowns | — | 0.13 |
| Knockdowns absorbed | — | 0.13 |
| Advanced Fighter Statistics | ||
| win rate Wins divided by this fighter's total recorded fights. | 75.0% | 53.8% |
| recent win rate Win rate over the last 5 recorded fights only — a form signal, not a career figure. | 75.0% | 40.0% |
| win streak Current run: a positive number is consecutive wins, a negative number consecutive losses. | 1 | -1 |
| total fights Total recorded fights, including bouts outside the UFC. | 4 | 13 |
| head strike share | 0.0% | 80.0% |
| body strike share | 0.0% | 17.5% |
| leg strike share | 0.0% | 2.5% |
| sig strikes absorbed Significant strikes opponents land on this fighter PER ROUND, counted from the round-by-round UFC stats across their scored rounds. Lower is better. | 0.000 | 10.2 |
| takedowns absorbed Takedowns opponents complete on this fighter PER ROUND, counted from the round-by-round UFC stats across their scored rounds. Lower is better. | 0.000 | 0.8 |
| cardio sig ratio This fighter's significant strikes landed in the LATER rounds divided by the EARLIER rounds. 1.0 is neutral: above it their output grows late, below it they fade. Shown only for fighters with at least 3 UFC bouts on record. | — | 0.06 |
| cardio defence ratio What OPPONENTS land on this fighter in the LATER rounds divided by what they land in the EARLIER rounds. 1.0 is neutral. LOWER is better — a high value means opponents find them more as the fight wears on. Shown only for fighters with at least 3 UFC bouts on record. | — | 0.02 |
| cardio takedown ratio This fighter's takedowns in the LATER rounds divided by the EARLIER rounds. 1.0 is neutral. Shown only for fighters with at least 3 UFC bouts on record. | — | 0.000 |
| is orthodox Whether the fighter's recorded stance is orthodox. | No | Yes |
| is southpaw Whether the fighter's recorded stance is southpaw. | No | No |
| switch stance Whether the fighter is recorded as switching stance. | No | No |
| finish rate Share of this fighter's WINS that came by finish, KO/TKO or submission. The denominator is wins, not fights. | 100.0% | 100.0% |
| KO win rate Share of this fighter's WINS that came by KO or TKO. The denominator is wins, not fights. | 100.0% | 100.0% |
| sub win rate Share of this fighter's WINS that came by submission. The denominator is wins, not fights. | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| been stopped rate Share of this fighter's LOSSES that ended by finish — the denominator is LOSSES, not fights. A fighter who is 20-1 whose single loss was a KO therefore reads 100%. | 100.0% | 83.3% |
| distance strike share | 0.0% | 77.0% |
| clinch strike share | 0.0% | 13.0% |
| ground strike share | 0.0% | 10.0% |
| avg fight duration (m:ss) Mean length of this fighter's UFC fights, in minutes and seconds. "—" means we hold no round-time data for them. | — | 6:18 |
| Elo rating A UFC-only Elo rating: it rises and falls with results, weighted by the opponent's rating. 1500 is the starting and dataset-average value. | 1500 | 1,461.7 |
| PageRank How central this fighter is in the network of who-fought-whom. It reflects the quality of opposition they have shared a cage with, not their skill. | 0.022 | 0.037 |
| career stage Form over the last 4 fights before this one: 3 or more wins reads Peak, 2 or fewer reads Decline, and fewer than 4 prior fights reads Early. | Peak | Decline |
Line Movement
Decimal odds over time, by sportsbook
Ce Liu
Junior Tafa
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