FightChoice Intelligence Report

Tommy Gantt
vs
Artur Minev

Tommy Gantt vs Artur Minev

https://fightchoice.app/events/tommy-gantt-vs-artur-minev-prediction-2026-05-16

Lightweight

UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa · May 16, 2026

In This Report

Prediction IntelClick here to expandOur call — and the case for it.

Stats Model Prediction

Model Breakdown
Tommy Gantt Artur Minev
Deep Learning Model α 20% weight 42.4% 57.6%
Deep Learning Model ξ 22% weight 64.4% 35.6%
Statistical Model δ 20% weight 72.2% 27.8%
Statistical Model β 20% weight 50.0% 50.0%
Statistical Model ε 18% weight 50.0% 50.0%
Ensemble 67.0% 33.0%
Predicted Winner
Tommy Gantt
67.0%
Confidence
* Model output, not betting advice. Bet responsibly.

*New fighters, prediction made with limited information

Predicted Duration
2nd Round at 3m04s (8m04s total)
Share This Intel Report
Fighter IntelClick here to expandEach fighter's skill profile and career trajectory, visualized side by side.

Tale of the Tape

Stat Tommy Gantt Artur Minev
Career Record 13-0 7-1
Height 5' 11" —
Weight 155 lbs. 155 lbs.
Reach 76" —
Stance Orthodox —
Age 33 —

Records are official career records, all promotions included.

Export as Image

Statistics IntelClick here to expandA full head-to-head stat comparison — per-round output and career tendencies — against the UFC average.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The same per-round and advanced numbers each fighter's profile shows, side by side. The stronger value in each row is highlighted.

Stat Tommy Gantt Artur Minev UFC AVG
Per Round Average
Strikes 16.8 4 13.2
Strike accuracy 70% 61.5% 43.9%
Takedowns 1.6 0 0.4
Takedown accuracy 32% 0% 32.9%
Sub attempts 0.2 0 0.2
Control time 182s 26.5s 49.1s
Knockdowns 0 0 0.08
Knockdowns absorbed 0 0 0.13
Advanced Fighter Statistics
win rate Wins divided by this fighter's total recorded fights. 100.0% 66.7% 45.6%
recent win rate Win rate over the last 5 recorded fights only — a form signal, not a career figure. 100.0% 66.7% 37.5%
win streak Current run: a positive number is consecutive wins, a negative number consecutive losses. 5 -1 -2
total fights Total recorded fights, including bouts outside the UFC. 5 3 —
head strike share Share of this fighter's landed significant strikes that went to the head. Head, body and leg sum to 100%. 51.2% 25.0% —
body strike share Share of this fighter's landed significant strikes that went to the body. Head, body and leg sum to 100%. 44.0% 62.5% —
leg strike share Share of this fighter's landed significant strikes that went to the legs. Head, body and leg sum to 100%. 4.8% 12.5% —
sig strikes absorbed Significant strikes opponents land on this fighter PER ROUND, counted from the round-by-round UFC stats across their scored rounds. Lower is better. 4.6 14 15.22
takedowns absorbed Takedowns opponents complete on this fighter PER ROUND, counted from the round-by-round UFC stats across their scored rounds. Lower is better. 0 3 0.4
is orthodox Whether the fighter's recorded stance is orthodox. Yes No —
is southpaw Whether the fighter's recorded stance is southpaw. No No —
switch stance Whether the fighter is recorded as switching stance. No No —
finish rate Share of this fighter's WINS that came by finish, KO/TKO or submission. The denominator is wins, not fights. 80.0% 100.0% 46.3%
KO win rate Share of this fighter's WINS that came by KO or TKO. The denominator is wins, not fights. 20.0% 100.0% 27.7%
sub win rate Share of this fighter's WINS that came by submission. The denominator is wins, not fights. 60.0% 0.0% 18.6%
been stopped rate Share of this fighter's LOSSES that ended by finish — the denominator is LOSSES, not fights. A fighter who is 20-1 whose single loss was a KO therefore reads 100%. 0.0% 100.0% 52.3%
distance strike share Share of this fighter's landed significant strikes thrown at distance. Distance, clinch and ground sum to 100%. 11.9% 37.5% —
clinch strike share Share of this fighter's landed significant strikes thrown in the clinch. Distance, clinch and ground sum to 100%. 53.6% 62.5% —
ground strike share Share of this fighter's landed significant strikes thrown on the ground. Distance, clinch and ground sum to 100%. 34.5% 0.0% —
avg fight duration (m:ss) Mean length of this fighter's UFC fights, in minutes and seconds. "—" means we hold no round-time data for them. 10:19 7:51 —
Elo rating A UFC-only Elo rating: it rises and falls with results, weighted by the opponent's rating. 1500 is the starting and dataset-average value. 1,535.8 1484 1500
PageRank How central this fighter is in the network of who-fought-whom. It reflects the quality of opposition they have shared a cage with, not their skill. 0.053 0.013 0.078
career stage Form over the last 4 fights before this one: 3 or more wins reads Peak, 2 or fewer reads Decline, and fewer than 4 prior fights reads Early. Peak Early —
Market IntelClick here to expandHow the betting market prices this fight compared to our model's number.

Betting Edge

Recommended stake 10% of bankroll on Tommy Gantt at 1.54 (research) * Model output, not betting advice. Bet responsibly.

Export as Image

More from UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa

Shauna Bannon vs Nicolle Caliari Daniel Barez vs Luis Gurule Alice Ardelean vs Polyana Viana Cody Brundage vs Andre Petroski Ketlen Vieira vs Jacqueline Cavalcanti Tuco Tokkos vs Ivan Erslan Nikolay Veretennikov vs Khaos Williams Timmy Cuamba vs Bernardo Sopaj Modestas Bukauskas vs Christian Edwards Malcolm Wellmaker vs Juan Diaz Dooho Choi vs Daniel Santos Arnold Allen vs Melquizael Costa

Put your own money-free bets on Tommy Gantt vs Artur Minev

Create a free account to run any matchup through our AI ensemble of statistical models, track a fantasy bankroll, and bet the card. No card required.

Create your free account