FightChoice Intelligence Report
Cody Brundage vs Andre Petroski
https://fightchoice.app/events/cody-brundage-vs-andre-petroski-prediction-2026-05-16
Middleweight
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa · May 16, 2026
In This Report
Prediction Intel
Stats Model Prediction
Model Breakdown
Cody Brundage
Andre Petroski
Deep Learning Model α 26% weight
51.9%
48.1%
Deep Learning Model ξ 25% weight
55.2%
44.8%
Statistical Model δ 13% weight
55.9%
44.1%
Statistical Model β 21% weight
45.0%
55.0%
Statistical Model ε 15% weight
44.0%
56.0%
Ensemble
40.6%
59.4%
Predicted Winner
Andre Petroski
59.4%
Confidence
* Model output, not betting advice. Bet responsibly.
Predicted Duration
2nd Round at 3m14s (8m14s total)
Fighter Intel
Tale of the Tape
| Stat | Cody Brundage | Andre Petroski |
|---|---|---|
| Career Record | 12-9 | 13-6 |
| Height | 6' 0" | 6' 0" |
| Weight | 185 lbs. | 185 lbs. |
| Reach | 72" | 73" |
| Stance | Orthodox | Switch |
| Age | 32 | 35 |
Records are official career records, all promotions included.
Statistics Intel
Head-to-Head Statistics
The same per-round and advanced numbers each fighter's profile shows, side by side. The stronger value in each row is highlighted.
| Stat | Cody Brundage | Andre Petroski | UFC AVG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Per Round Average | |||
| Strikes | 9.8 | 11.9 | 13.2 |
| Strike accuracy | 49.8% | 49.2% | 43.9% |
| Takedowns | 0.5 | 0.9 | 0.4 |
| Takedown accuracy | 42.4% | 52.8% | 33.0% |
| Sub attempts | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Control time | 44.2s | 101.7s | 48.9s |
| Knockdowns | 0.13 | 0.03 | 0.08 |
| Knockdowns absorbed | 0 | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Advanced Fighter Statistics | |||
| win rate Wins divided by this fighter's total recorded fights. | 64.0% | 74.1% | 45.8% |
| recent win rate Win rate over the last 5 recorded fights only — a form signal, not a career figure. | 40.0% | 40.0% | 37.6% |
| win streak Current run: a positive number is consecutive wins, a negative number consecutive losses. | 1 | -3 | -2 |
| total fights Total recorded fights, including bouts outside the UFC. | 25 | 27 | — |
| head strike share | 79.1% | 64.1% | — |
| body strike share | 8.7% | 20.0% | — |
| leg strike share | 12.2% | 15.9% | — |
| sig strikes absorbed Significant strikes opponents land on this fighter PER ROUND, counted from the round-by-round UFC stats across their scored rounds. Lower is better. | 11.77 | 12.97 | 15.2 |
| takedowns absorbed Takedowns opponents complete on this fighter PER ROUND, counted from the round-by-round UFC stats across their scored rounds. Lower is better. | 0.42 | 0.1 | 0.4 |
| cardio sig ratio This fighter's significant strikes landed in the LATER rounds divided by the EARLIER rounds. 1.0 is neutral: above it their output grows late, below it they fade. Shown only for fighters with at least 3 UFC bouts on record. | 0.35 | 0.68 | 0.52 |
| cardio defence ratio What OPPONENTS land on this fighter in the LATER rounds divided by what they land in the EARLIER rounds. 1.0 is neutral. LOWER is better — a high value means opponents find them more as the fight wears on. Shown only for fighters with at least 3 UFC bouts on record. | 0.21 | 0.69 | 0.56 |
| cardio takedown ratio This fighter's takedowns in the LATER rounds divided by the EARLIER rounds. 1.0 is neutral. Shown only for fighters with at least 3 UFC bouts on record. | 0.1 | 1.22 | 0.42 |
| is orthodox Whether the fighter's recorded stance is orthodox. | Yes | No | — |
| is southpaw Whether the fighter's recorded stance is southpaw. | No | No | — |
| switch stance Whether the fighter is recorded as switching stance. | No | Yes | — |
| finish rate Share of this fighter's WINS that came by finish, KO/TKO or submission. The denominator is wins, not fights. | 87.5% | 60.0% | 46.5% |
| KO win rate Share of this fighter's WINS that came by KO or TKO. The denominator is wins, not fights. | 62.5% | 25.0% | 27.9% |
| sub win rate Share of this fighter's WINS that came by submission. The denominator is wins, not fights. | 25.0% | 35.0% | 18.7% |
| been stopped rate Share of this fighter's LOSSES that ended by finish — the denominator is LOSSES, not fights. A fighter who is 20-1 whose single loss was a KO therefore reads 100%. | 55.6% | 71.4% | 52.3% |
| distance strike share | 63.5% | 75.1% | — |
| clinch strike share | 10.3% | 2.4% | — |
| ground strike share | 26.2% | 22.4% | — |
| avg fight duration (m:ss) Mean length of this fighter's UFC fights, in minutes and seconds. "—" means we hold no round-time data for them. | 7:58 | 10:20 | — |
| Elo rating A UFC-only Elo rating: it rises and falls with results, weighted by the opponent's rating. 1500 is the starting and dataset-average value. | 1,478.8 | 1,523.7 | 1500 |
| PageRank How central this fighter is in the network of who-fought-whom. It reflects the quality of opposition they have shared a cage with, not their skill. | 0.161 | 0.192 | 0.069 |
| career stage Form over the last 4 fights before this one: 3 or more wins reads Peak, 2 or fewer reads Decline, and fewer than 4 prior fights reads Early. | Decline | Decline | — |
Market Intel
Betting Edge
Recommended stake
4%
of bankroll
on Andre Petroski at 1.62 (research)
* Model output, not betting advice. Bet responsibly.
Line Movement
Decimal odds over time, by sportsbook
Cody Brundage
Andre Petroski
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