FightChoice Intelligence Report

Shane Collins
vs
Otari Tanzilovi

Shane Collins vs Otari Tanzilovi

https://fightchoice.app/events/shane-collins-vs-otari-tanzilovi-prediction-2026-06-20

Featherweight

UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi 2 · Jun 20, 2026

In This Report

Prediction IntelClick here to expandOur call — and the case for it.

Stats Model Prediction

Model Breakdown
Shane Collins Otari Tanzilovi
Deep Learning Model α 20% weight 47.3% 52.7%
Deep Learning Model ξ 22% weight 59.3% 40.7%
Statistical Model δ 20% weight 77.8% 22.2%
Statistical Model β 20% weight 50.0% 50.0%
Statistical Model ε 18% weight 50.0% 50.0%
Ensemble 70.8% 29.2%
Predicted Winner
Shane Collins
70.8%
Confidence
* Model output, not betting advice. Bet responsibly.

*New fighters, prediction made with limited information

Predicted Duration
2nd Round at 3m20s (8m20s total)
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Fighter IntelClick here to expandEach fighter's skill profile and career trajectory, visualized side by side.

Tale of the Tape

Stat Shane Collins Otari Tanzilovi
Career Record 8-0 10-2
Height 5' 9" 5' 10"
Weight 145 lbs. 135 lbs.
Reach 71" 70"
Stance Orthodox Orthodox
Age 26 28

Records are official career records, all promotions included.

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Statistics IntelClick here to expandA full head-to-head stat comparison — per-round output and career tendencies — against the UFC average.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The same per-round and advanced numbers each fighter's profile shows, side by side. The stronger value in each row is highlighted.

Stat Shane Collins Otari Tanzilovi UFC AVG
Per Round Average
Strikes 25.3 19.3 13.2
Strike accuracy 55.1% 65.2% 43.9%
Takedowns 0 1.7 0.4
Takedown accuracy 0% 55.6% 32.9%
Sub attempts 1 0 0.2
Control time 51.3s 84.7s 49.1s
Knockdowns 0 0 0.08
Knockdowns absorbed 0 0 0.13
Advanced Fighter Statistics
win rate Wins divided by this fighter's total recorded fights. 50.0% 0.0% 45.6%
recent win rate Win rate over the last 5 recorded fights only — a form signal, not a career figure. 50.0% 0.0% 37.5%
win streak Current run: a positive number is consecutive wins, a negative number consecutive losses. 1 -3 -2
total fights Total recorded fights, including bouts outside the UFC. 2 3 —
head strike share Share of this fighter's landed significant strikes that went to the head. Head, body and leg sum to 100%. 60.5% 65.5% —
body strike share Share of this fighter's landed significant strikes that went to the body. Head, body and leg sum to 100%. 30.3% 25.9% —
leg strike share Share of this fighter's landed significant strikes that went to the legs. Head, body and leg sum to 100%. 9.2% 8.6% —
sig strikes absorbed Significant strikes opponents land on this fighter PER ROUND, counted from the round-by-round UFC stats across their scored rounds. Lower is better. 19.33 25.33 15.22
takedowns absorbed Takedowns opponents complete on this fighter PER ROUND, counted from the round-by-round UFC stats across their scored rounds. Lower is better. 1.67 0 0.4
is orthodox Whether the fighter's recorded stance is orthodox. Yes Yes —
is southpaw Whether the fighter's recorded stance is southpaw. No No —
switch stance Whether the fighter is recorded as switching stance. No No —
finish rate Share of this fighter's WINS that came by finish, KO/TKO or submission. The denominator is wins, not fights. 0.0% 0.0% 46.3%
KO win rate Share of this fighter's WINS that came by KO or TKO. The denominator is wins, not fights. 0.0% 0.0% 27.7%
sub win rate Share of this fighter's WINS that came by submission. The denominator is wins, not fights. 0.0% 0.0% 18.6%
been stopped rate Share of this fighter's LOSSES that ended by finish — the denominator is LOSSES, not fights. A fighter who is 20-1 whose single loss was a KO therefore reads 100%. 0.0% 0.0% 52.3%
distance strike share Share of this fighter's landed significant strikes thrown at distance. Distance, clinch and ground sum to 100%. 86.8% 70.7% —
clinch strike share Share of this fighter's landed significant strikes thrown in the clinch. Distance, clinch and ground sum to 100%. 13.2% 29.3% —
ground strike share Share of this fighter's landed significant strikes thrown on the ground. Distance, clinch and ground sum to 100%. 0.0% 0.0% —
avg fight duration (m:ss) Mean length of this fighter's UFC fights, in minutes and seconds. "—" means we hold no round-time data for them. 15:00 15:00 —
Elo rating A UFC-only Elo rating: it rises and falls with results, weighted by the opponent's rating. 1500 is the starting and dataset-average value. 1516 1484 1500
PageRank How central this fighter is in the network of who-fought-whom. It reflects the quality of opposition they have shared a cage with, not their skill. 0.010 0.008 0.078
career stage Form over the last 4 fights before this one: 3 or more wins reads Peak, 2 or fewer reads Decline, and fewer than 4 prior fights reads Early. Early Early —
Market IntelClick here to expandHow the betting market prices this fight compared to our model's number.

Betting Edge

Recommended stake 11% of bankroll on Shane Collins at 1.46 (research) * Model output, not betting advice. Bet responsibly.

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