FightChoice Intelligence Report
Hyder Amil vs Christian Rodriguez
https://fightchoice.app/events/hyder-amil-vs-christian-rodriguez-prediction-2026-06-20
Featherweight
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi 2 · Jun 20, 2026
Stats Model Prediction
Model Breakdown
Hyder Amil
Christian Rodriguez
Deep Learning Model α 21% weight
65.6%
34.4%
Deep Learning Model ξ 23% weight
57.0%
43.0%
Statistical Model δ 16% weight
63.0%
37.0%
Statistical Model β 21% weight
41.0%
59.0%
Statistical Model ε 19% weight
39.3%
60.7%
Ensemble
58.7%
41.3%
Predicted Winner
Hyder Amil
58.7%
Confidence
* Model output, not betting advice. Bet responsibly.
Predicted Duration
3rd Round at 0m07s (10m07s total)
Tale of the Tape
| Stat | Hyder Amil | Christian Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Career Record | 11-3 | 13-4 |
| Height | 5' 9" | 5' 7" |
| Weight | 145 lbs. | 145 lbs. |
| Reach | 70" | 71" |
| Stance | Switch | Orthodox |
| Age | 36 | 28 |
Records are official career records, all promotions included.
Head-to-Head Statistics
The same per-round and advanced numbers each fighter's profile shows, side by side. The stronger value in each row is highlighted.
| Stat | Hyder Amil | Christian Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Per Round Average | ||
| Strikes | 28.1 | 18.3 |
| Strike accuracy | 52.6% | 52.3% |
| Takedowns | 0.2 | 0.7 |
| Takedown accuracy | 16.7% | 40% |
| Sub attempts | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Control time | 29.1s | 71.1s |
| Knockdowns | 0.09 | 0.04 |
| Knockdowns absorbed | 0.18 | 0 |
| Advanced Fighter Statistics | ||
| win rate Wins divided by this fighter's total recorded fights. | 75.0% | 76.0% |
| recent win rate Win rate over the last 5 recorded fights only — a form signal, not a career figure. | 40.0% | 40.0% |
| win streak Current run: a positive number is consecutive wins, a negative number consecutive losses. | -3 | 1 |
| total fights Total recorded fights, including bouts outside the UFC. | 16 | 25 |
| head strike share | 63.4% | 73.3% |
| body strike share | 21.7% | 17.8% |
| leg strike share | 14.9% | 8.9% |
| sig strikes absorbed Significant strikes opponents land on this fighter PER ROUND, counted from the round-by-round UFC stats across their scored rounds. Lower is better. | 19.09 | 14.29 |
| takedowns absorbed Takedowns opponents complete on this fighter PER ROUND, counted from the round-by-round UFC stats across their scored rounds. Lower is better. | 0.73 | 1.08 |
| cardio sig ratio This fighter's significant strikes landed in the LATER rounds divided by the EARLIER rounds. 1.0 is neutral: above it their output grows late, below it they fade. Shown only for fighters with at least 3 UFC bouts on record. | 0.34 | 1.39 |
| cardio defence ratio What OPPONENTS land on this fighter in the LATER rounds divided by what they land in the EARLIER rounds. 1.0 is neutral. LOWER is better — a high value means opponents find them more as the fight wears on. Shown only for fighters with at least 3 UFC bouts on record. | 0.47 | 0.57 |
| cardio takedown ratio This fighter's takedowns in the LATER rounds divided by the EARLIER rounds. 1.0 is neutral. Shown only for fighters with at least 3 UFC bouts on record. | 1 | 1.6 |
| is orthodox Whether the fighter's recorded stance is orthodox. | No | Yes |
| is southpaw Whether the fighter's recorded stance is southpaw. | No | No |
| switch stance Whether the fighter is recorded as switching stance. | Yes | No |
| finish rate Share of this fighter's WINS that came by finish, KO/TKO or submission. The denominator is wins, not fights. | 58.3% | 68.4% |
| KO win rate Share of this fighter's WINS that came by KO or TKO. The denominator is wins, not fights. | 50.0% | 31.6% |
| sub win rate Share of this fighter's WINS that came by submission. The denominator is wins, not fights. | 8.3% | 36.8% |
| been stopped rate Share of this fighter's LOSSES that ended by finish — the denominator is LOSSES, not fights. A fighter who is 20-1 whose single loss was a KO therefore reads 100%. | 50.0% | 16.7% |
| distance strike share | 85.4% | 67.9% |
| clinch strike share | 8.1% | 17.3% |
| ground strike share | 6.5% | 14.8% |
| avg fight duration (m:ss) Mean length of this fighter's UFC fights, in minutes and seconds. "—" means we hold no round-time data for them. | 7:04 | 11:46 |
| Elo rating A UFC-only Elo rating: it rises and falls with results, weighted by the opponent's rating. 1500 is the starting and dataset-average value. | 1,497.4 | 1,529.6 |
| PageRank How central this fighter is in the network of who-fought-whom. It reflects the quality of opposition they have shared a cage with, not their skill. | 0.126 | 0.317 |
| career stage Form over the last 4 fights before this one: 3 or more wins reads Peak, 2 or fewer reads Decline, and fewer than 4 prior fights reads Early. | Decline | Decline |
Betting Edge
Recommended stake
17%
of bankroll
on Hyder Amil at 2.64 (research)
* Model output, not betting advice. Bet responsibly.
Line Movement
Decimal odds over time, by sportsbook
Hyder Amil
Christian Rodriguez
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