FightChoice Intelligence Report
Priscila Cachoeira vs Chelsea Chandler
https://fightchoice.app/events/priscila-cachoeira-vs-chelsea-chandler-prediction-2026-06-06
Women's Bantamweight
UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · Jun 6, 2026
Stats Model Prediction
Model Breakdown
Priscila Cachoeira
Chelsea Chandler
Deep Learning Model α 21% weight
43.3%
56.7%
Deep Learning Model ξ 23% weight
53.2%
46.8%
Statistical Model δ 16% weight
86.4%
13.6%
Statistical Model β 21% weight
37.7%
62.3%
Statistical Model ε 19% weight
40.0%
60.0%
Ensemble
46.1%
53.9%
Predicted Winner
Chelsea Chandler
53.9%
Confidence
* Model output, not betting advice. Bet responsibly.
Predicted Duration
2nd Round at 4m07s (9m07s total)
Tale of the Tape
| Stat | Priscila Cachoeira | Chelsea Chandler |
|---|---|---|
| UFC Record | 5-9 | 3-3 |
| Height | 5' 7" | 5' 8" |
| Weight | 135 lbs. | 135 lbs. |
| Reach | 65" | 68" |
| Stance | Orthodox | Southpaw |
| Age | 38 | 35 |
Records count UFC bouts only (wins-losses-no contests) — we have no verified pre-UFC record for both of these fighters.
Head-to-Head Statistics
The same per-round and advanced numbers each fighter's profile shows, side by side. The stronger value in each row is highlighted.
| Stat | Priscila Cachoeira | Chelsea Chandler |
|---|---|---|
| Per Round Average | ||
| Strikes | 18.9 | 16.3 |
| Strike accuracy | 44.4% | 45% |
| Takedowns | 0.1 | 0.3 |
| Takedown accuracy | 50% | 60% |
| Sub attempts | 0 | 0.1 |
| Control time | 6.3s | 80.8s |
| Knockdowns | 0.11 | 0.08 |
| Knockdowns absorbed | 0.14 | 0.08 |
| Advanced Fighter Statistics | ||
| win rate Wins divided by this fighter's total recorded fights. | 35.7% | 63.6% |
| recent win rate Win rate over the last 5 recorded fights only — a form signal, not a career figure. | 20.0% | 40.0% |
| win streak Current run: a positive number is consecutive wins, a negative number consecutive losses. | -3 | 1 |
| total fights Total recorded fights, including bouts outside the UFC. | 14 | 11 |
| head strike share | 74.6% | 70.3% |
| body strike share | 16.3% | 26.7% |
| leg strike share | 9.1% | 3.1% |
| sig strikes absorbed Significant strikes opponents land on this fighter PER ROUND, counted from the round-by-round UFC stats across their scored rounds. Lower is better. | 32.32 | 19.75 |
| takedowns absorbed Takedowns opponents complete on this fighter PER ROUND, counted from the round-by-round UFC stats across their scored rounds. Lower is better. | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| cardio sig ratio This fighter's significant strikes landed in the LATER rounds divided by the EARLIER rounds. 1.0 is neutral: above it their output grows late, below it they fade. Shown only for fighters with at least 3 UFC bouts on record. | 0.75 | 0.52 |
| cardio defence ratio What OPPONENTS land on this fighter in the LATER rounds divided by what they land in the EARLIER rounds. 1.0 is neutral. LOWER is better — a high value means opponents find them more as the fight wears on. Shown only for fighters with at least 3 UFC bouts on record. | 0.71 | 0.53 |
| cardio takedown ratio This fighter's takedowns in the LATER rounds divided by the EARLIER rounds. 1.0 is neutral. Shown only for fighters with at least 3 UFC bouts on record. | 0.5 | 1 |
| is orthodox Whether the fighter's recorded stance is orthodox. | Yes | No |
| is southpaw Whether the fighter's recorded stance is southpaw. | No | Yes |
| switch stance Whether the fighter is recorded as switching stance. | No | No |
| finish rate Share of this fighter's WINS that came by finish, KO/TKO or submission. The denominator is wins, not fights. | 80.0% | 57.1% |
| KO win rate Share of this fighter's WINS that came by KO or TKO. The denominator is wins, not fights. | 80.0% | 28.6% |
| sub win rate Share of this fighter's WINS that came by submission. The denominator is wins, not fights. | 0.0% | 28.6% |
| been stopped rate Share of this fighter's LOSSES that ended by finish — the denominator is LOSSES, not fights. A fighter who is 20-1 whose single loss was a KO therefore reads 100%. | 66.7% | 25.0% |
| distance strike share | 87.5% | 61.5% |
| clinch strike share | 8.0% | 21.0% |
| ground strike share | 4.5% | 17.4% |
| avg fight duration (m:ss) Mean length of this fighter's UFC fights, in minutes and seconds. "—" means we hold no round-time data for them. | 8:40 | 9:15 |
| Elo rating A UFC-only Elo rating: it rises and falls with results, weighted by the opponent's rating. 1500 is the starting and dataset-average value. | 1,448.6 | 1,500.2 |
| PageRank How central this fighter is in the network of who-fought-whom. It reflects the quality of opposition they have shared a cage with, not their skill. | 0.054 | 0.056 |
| career stage Form over the last 4 fights before this one: 3 or more wins reads Peak, 2 or fewer reads Decline, and fewer than 4 prior fights reads Early. | Decline | Decline |
Betting Edge
Recommended stake
5%
of bankroll
on Chelsea Chandler at 1.77 (research)
* Model output, not betting advice. Bet responsibly.
Line Movement
Decimal odds over time, by sportsbook
Priscila Cachoeira
Chelsea Chandler
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