FightChoice Intelligence Report

Liam McCracken
vs
Silvestre Sanchez

Liam McCracken vs Silvestre Sanchez

https://fightchoice.app/events/liam-mccracken-vs-silvestre-sanchez-prediction-2026-09-01

Lightweight

Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 4 · Sep 1, 2026

Stats Model Prediction

🔒 Prediction locked in before the fight · Predicted Aug 16, 2026, 21:53 UTC

Model Breakdown
Liam McCracken Silvestre Sanchez
Deep Learning Model α 25% weight 53.2% 46.8%
Deep Learning Model ξ 27% weight 75.0% 25.0%
Statistical Model β 25% weight 50.0% 50.0%
Statistical Model ε 23% weight 50.0% 50.0%
Ensemble 61.1% 38.9%
Predicted Winner
Liam McCracken
61.1%
Confidence
* Model output, not betting advice. Bet responsibly.

*New fighters, prediction made with limited information

Predicted Duration
Decision (15m00s total)

Chance the Fight Is Still Going

68% Chance of Decision

The curve stays above 50% all the way to the final bell, which is why the call above is a decision.

Path To Victory
Fighter By decision *Based on 281 similar fights By KO/TKO *Based on 281 similar fights By submission *Based on 281 similar fights Win Confidence *Based on our prediction
Liam McCracken 30.7% 19.4% 11.1% 61.1%
Silvestre Sanchez 19.5% 12.3% 7.1% 38.9%
281 historical bouts 50.2% 31.7% 18.1% 100.0%
Share This Intel Report Export as Image

How Similar Fights Ended

281 historical bouts

Every past fight is placed by the SHAPE of its mismatch — how far apart the two fighters were on each of 37 career measures, setting aside which one was ahead. Fights that sit close together form a profile. Below is how the 281 bouts in this bout's profile actually ended.

50% Reached the judges
50% Ended early
32% KO/TKO 18% Submission 7:10 Median finish, round 2
When those finishes came

This is a base rate over similar past matchups, not a prediction about these two fighters. It is drawn from what happened historically, and the profile is blind to which corner is which — so it can say how fights like this one tend to go, and nothing at all about who wins.

Fights with a similar mismatch

Every fighter is reduced to a profile of 37 career measures as they stood going into the fight, standardised so that no single measure dominates merely for having bigger units — a far wider read than the six charted below. The bout is then described by the gap between the two: how far apart they were on each of those measures, setting aside which one was ahead. The fights listed here are those whose gaps line up most closely with this one. Because the match is on the shape of a mismatch rather than on a weight class or an era, a neighbour can come from an entirely different division.

Fight Liam McCracken Silvestre Sanchez
86% How closely the gap between these two fighters resembles the gap in that historical bout — the size and shape of the mismatch, not the fighters themselves. Two completely different pairs can produce the same mismatch. 100% would be an identical gap; two fights picked at random score about 36%, so a number near that means there is no real comparable on record. Match
Aug 10, 2019
UFC Fight Night: Shevchenko vs. Carmouche 2
Welterweight
Vicente Luque Winner
Decision 3rd Rnd, 5m00s
Fight Performance
Strikes (Per Rnd)
28
Strike accuracy
46.9%
Takedowns (Per Rnd)
0
Takedown accuracy
—
Sub attempts (Per Rnd)
0.3
Control time (Per Rnd)
0s
Mike Perry
Fight Performance
Strikes (Per Rnd)
29
Strike accuracy
49.7%
Takedowns (Per Rnd)
0
Takedown accuracy
0%
Sub attempts (Per Rnd)
0
Control time (Per Rnd)
66.3s
84% How closely the gap between these two fighters resembles the gap in that historical bout — the size and shape of the mismatch, not the fighters themselves. Two completely different pairs can produce the same mismatch. 100% would be an identical gap; two fights picked at random score about 36%, so a number near that means there is no real comparable on record. Match
Mar 1, 2008
UFC 82: Pride of a Champion
Welterweight
Luigi Fioravanti Winner
Decision 3rd Rnd, 5m00s
Fight Performance
Strikes (Per Rnd)
10.7
Strike accuracy
42.7%
Takedowns (Per Rnd)
4.3
Takedown accuracy
81.3%
Sub attempts (Per Rnd)
0
Control time (Per Rnd)
211s
Luke Cummo
Fight Performance
Strikes (Per Rnd)
5.3
Strike accuracy
41%
Takedowns (Per Rnd)
0
Takedown accuracy
0%
Sub attempts (Per Rnd)
0
Control time (Per Rnd)
13.3s
83% How closely the gap between these two fighters resembles the gap in that historical bout — the size and shape of the mismatch, not the fighters themselves. Two completely different pairs can produce the same mismatch. 100% would be an identical gap; two fights picked at random score about 36%, so a number near that means there is no real comparable on record. Match
Oct 26, 2024
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway
Light Heavyweight
Magomed Ankalaev Winner
Decision 3rd Rnd, 5m00s
Fight Performance
Strikes (Per Rnd)
18.3
Strike accuracy
48.2%
Takedowns (Per Rnd)
0
Takedown accuracy
—
Sub attempts (Per Rnd)
0
Control time (Per Rnd)
30.3s
Aleksandar Rakic
Fight Performance
Strikes (Per Rnd)
17.7
Strike accuracy
45.3%
Takedowns (Per Rnd)
0
Takedown accuracy
0%
Sub attempts (Per Rnd)
0
Control time (Per Rnd)
20s
81% How closely the gap between these two fighters resembles the gap in that historical bout — the size and shape of the mismatch, not the fighters themselves. Two completely different pairs can produce the same mismatch. 100% would be an identical gap; two fights picked at random score about 36%, so a number near that means there is no real comparable on record. Match
Nov 19, 2022
UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba
Women's Flyweight
Jennifer Maia Winner
Decision 3rd Rnd, 5m00s
Fight Performance
Strikes (Per Rnd)
36.3
Strike accuracy
43.1%
Takedowns (Per Rnd)
0
Takedown accuracy
—
Sub attempts (Per Rnd)
0
Control time (Per Rnd)
34.7s
Maryna Moroz
Fight Performance
Strikes (Per Rnd)
26.7
Strike accuracy
29.4%
Takedowns (Per Rnd)
0
Takedown accuracy
—
Sub attempts (Per Rnd)
0
Control time (Per Rnd)
0s
81% How closely the gap between these two fighters resembles the gap in that historical bout — the size and shape of the mismatch, not the fighters themselves. Two completely different pairs can produce the same mismatch. 100% would be an identical gap; two fights picked at random score about 36%, so a number near that means there is no real comparable on record. Match
Jun 22, 2024
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov
Bantamweight
Xiao Long
Fight Performance
Strikes (Per Rnd)
22.7
Strike accuracy
66%
Takedowns (Per Rnd)
0.7
Takedown accuracy
40%
Sub attempts (Per Rnd)
0
Control time (Per Rnd)
126.3s
ChangHo Lee Winner
Decision 3rd Rnd, 5m00s
Fight Performance
Strikes (Per Rnd)
28
Strike accuracy
70.6%
Takedowns (Per Rnd)
0.7
Takedown accuracy
22.2%
Sub attempts (Per Rnd)
0
Control time (Per Rnd)
36s
81% How closely the gap between these two fighters resembles the gap in that historical bout — the size and shape of the mismatch, not the fighters themselves. Two completely different pairs can produce the same mismatch. 100% would be an identical gap; two fights picked at random score about 36%, so a number near that means there is no real comparable on record. Match
Oct 22, 2022
UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev
Women's Flyweight
Katlyn Cerminara
Fight Performance
Strikes (Per Rnd)
25.3
Strike accuracy
26.6%
Takedowns (Per Rnd)
0
Takedown accuracy
—
Sub attempts (Per Rnd)
0
Control time (Per Rnd)
0s
Manon Fiorot Winner
Decision 3rd Rnd, 5m00s
Fight Performance
Strikes (Per Rnd)
32.7
Strike accuracy
35.1%
Takedowns (Per Rnd)
0.3
Takedown accuracy
50%
Sub attempts (Per Rnd)
0
Control time (Per Rnd)
4.7s
80% How closely the gap between these two fighters resembles the gap in that historical bout — the size and shape of the mismatch, not the fighters themselves. Two completely different pairs can produce the same mismatch. 100% would be an identical gap; two fights picked at random score about 36%, so a number near that means there is no real comparable on record. Match
Feb 20, 2010
UFC 110: Nogueira vs Velasquez
Lightweight
George Sotiropoulos Winner
Decision 3rd Rnd, 5m00s
Fight Performance
Strikes (Per Rnd)
6.7
Strike accuracy
23%
Takedowns (Per Rnd)
0.7
Takedown accuracy
66.7%
Sub attempts (Per Rnd)
1
Control time (Per Rnd)
105.7s
Joe Stevenson
Fight Performance
Strikes (Per Rnd)
2.3
Strike accuracy
22.6%
Takedowns (Per Rnd)
1
Takedown accuracy
50%
Sub attempts (Per Rnd)
0.7
Control time (Per Rnd)
96.3s
78% How closely the gap between these two fighters resembles the gap in that historical bout — the size and shape of the mismatch, not the fighters themselves. Two completely different pairs can produce the same mismatch. 100% would be an identical gap; two fights picked at random score about 36%, so a number near that means there is no real comparable on record. Match
Feb 7, 2026
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira
Bantamweight
Muin Gafurov
Fight Performance
Strikes (Per Rnd)
26.3
Strike accuracy
50%
Takedowns (Per Rnd)
0.7
Takedown accuracy
40%
Sub attempts (Per Rnd)
0
Control time (Per Rnd)
34.7s
Jakub Wiklacz Winner
Finish 3rd Rnd, 4m59s
Fight Performance
Strikes (Per Rnd)
18.7
Strike accuracy
37.8%
Takedowns (Per Rnd)
0
Takedown accuracy
—
Sub attempts (Per Rnd)
0.7
Control time (Per Rnd)
91s
78% How closely the gap between these two fighters resembles the gap in that historical bout — the size and shape of the mismatch, not the fighters themselves. Two completely different pairs can produce the same mismatch. 100% would be an identical gap; two fights picked at random score about 36%, so a number near that means there is no real comparable on record. Match
Nov 2, 2024
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi
Flyweight
Brandon Moreno Winner
Decision 5th Rnd, 5m00s
Fight Performance
Strikes (Per Rnd)
26.4
Strike accuracy
41.6%
Takedowns (Per Rnd)
0
Takedown accuracy
0%
Sub attempts (Per Rnd)
0
Control time (Per Rnd)
0s
Amir Albazi
Fight Performance
Strikes (Per Rnd)
12.6
Strike accuracy
26.8%
Takedowns (Per Rnd)
0.2
Takedown accuracy
25%
Sub attempts (Per Rnd)
0
Control time (Per Rnd)
1.8s
78% How closely the gap between these two fighters resembles the gap in that historical bout — the size and shape of the mismatch, not the fighters themselves. Two completely different pairs can produce the same mismatch. 100% would be an identical gap; two fights picked at random score about 36%, so a number near that means there is no real comparable on record. Match
Mar 4, 2023
UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane
Lightweight
Esteban Ribovics
Fight Performance
Strikes (Per Rnd)
22
Strike accuracy
51.2%
Takedowns (Per Rnd)
0
Takedown accuracy
0%
Sub attempts (Per Rnd)
0.3
Control time (Per Rnd)
10.3s
Loik Radzhabov Winner
Decision 3rd Rnd, 5m00s
Fight Performance
Strikes (Per Rnd)
13.3
Strike accuracy
47.1%
Takedowns (Per Rnd)
3.7
Takedown accuracy
52.4%
Sub attempts (Per Rnd)
0
Control time (Per Rnd)
153s
77% How closely the gap between these two fighters resembles the gap in that historical bout — the size and shape of the mismatch, not the fighters themselves. Two completely different pairs can produce the same mismatch. 100% would be an identical gap; two fights picked at random score about 36%, so a number near that means there is no real comparable on record. Match
Dec 4, 2021
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Aldo
Bantamweight
Rob Font
Fight Performance
Strikes (Per Rnd)
29.8
Strike accuracy
48.9%
Takedowns (Per Rnd)
0.2
Takedown accuracy
20%
Sub attempts (Per Rnd)
0
Control time (Per Rnd)
25.6s
Jose Aldo Winner
Decision 5th Rnd, 5m00s
Fight Performance
Strikes (Per Rnd)
17.2
Strike accuracy
53.4%
Takedowns (Per Rnd)
0
Takedown accuracy
0%
Sub attempts (Per Rnd)
0.2
Control time (Per Rnd)
109.2s
77% How closely the gap between these two fighters resembles the gap in that historical bout — the size and shape of the mismatch, not the fighters themselves. Two completely different pairs can produce the same mismatch. 100% would be an identical gap; two fights picked at random score about 36%, so a number near that means there is no real comparable on record. Match
Apr 27, 2019
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Hermansson
Women's Strawweight
Angela Hill Winner
Decision 3rd Rnd, 5m00s
Fight Performance
Strikes (Per Rnd)
39
Strike accuracy
49.6%
Takedowns (Per Rnd)
0
Takedown accuracy
0%
Sub attempts (Per Rnd)
0
Control time (Per Rnd)
1.7s
Jodie Esquibel
Fight Performance
Strikes (Per Rnd)
19
Strike accuracy
19.7%
Takedowns (Per Rnd)
0
Takedown accuracy
0%
Sub attempts (Per Rnd)
0
Control time (Per Rnd)
7.7s
77% How closely the gap between these two fighters resembles the gap in that historical bout — the size and shape of the mismatch, not the fighters themselves. Two completely different pairs can produce the same mismatch. 100% would be an identical gap; two fights picked at random score about 36%, so a number near that means there is no real comparable on record. Match
Jul 25, 2026
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov
Heavyweight
Rizvan Kuniev Winner
Finish 3rd Rnd, 1m12s
Fight Performance
Strikes (Per Rnd)
22
Strike accuracy
55%
Takedowns (Per Rnd)
0
Takedown accuracy
—
Sub attempts (Per Rnd)
0
Control time (Per Rnd)
47s
Tyrell Fortune
Fight Performance
Strikes (Per Rnd)
6.7
Strike accuracy
46.5%
Takedowns (Per Rnd)
0
Takedown accuracy
0%
Sub attempts (Per Rnd)
0
Control time (Per Rnd)
0s
77% How closely the gap between these two fighters resembles the gap in that historical bout — the size and shape of the mismatch, not the fighters themselves. Two completely different pairs can produce the same mismatch. 100% would be an identical gap; two fights picked at random score about 36%, so a number near that means there is no real comparable on record. Match
Mar 30, 2019
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Gaethje
Bantamweight
Alex Perez Winner
Decision 3rd Rnd, 5m00s
Fight Performance
Strikes (Per Rnd)
20
Strike accuracy
54.5%
Takedowns (Per Rnd)
0.7
Takedown accuracy
50%
Sub attempts (Per Rnd)
0
Control time (Per Rnd)
164.3s
Mark De La Rosa
Fight Performance
Strikes (Per Rnd)
8.7
Strike accuracy
31%
Takedowns (Per Rnd)
0
Takedown accuracy
—
Sub attempts (Per Rnd)
0
Control time (Per Rnd)
0s
77% How closely the gap between these two fighters resembles the gap in that historical bout — the size and shape of the mismatch, not the fighters themselves. Two completely different pairs can produce the same mismatch. 100% would be an identical gap; two fights picked at random score about 36%, so a number near that means there is no real comparable on record. Match
Nov 8, 2025
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown
Bantamweight
Miles Johns
Fight Performance
Strikes (Per Rnd)
14
Strike accuracy
51.9%
Takedowns (Per Rnd)
0
Takedown accuracy
0%
Sub attempts (Per Rnd)
0
Control time (Per Rnd)
47s
Daniel Marcos Winner
Finish 2nd Rnd, 4m23s
Fight Performance
Strikes (Per Rnd)
13.5
Strike accuracy
57.4%
Takedowns (Per Rnd)
1.5
Takedown accuracy
75%
Sub attempts (Per Rnd)
0.5
Control time (Per Rnd)
119.5s

Export as Image

Tale of the Tape

Stat Liam McCracken Silvestre Sanchez
Weight 155 lbs. 155 lbs.
Age 24 24

Records count UFC bouts only (wins-losses-no contests) — we have no verified pre-UFC record for both of these fighters.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The same per-round and advanced numbers each fighter's profile shows, side by side. The stronger value in each row is highlighted.

No recorded UFC statistics for Silvestre Sanchez.

Stat Liam McCracken Silvestre Sanchez
Advanced Fighter Statistics
win rate Wins divided by this fighter's total recorded fights. 100.0% —
recent win rate Win rate over the last 5 recorded fights only — a form signal, not a career figure. 100.0% —
win streak Current run: a positive number is consecutive wins, a negative number consecutive losses. 1 —
total fights Total recorded fights, including bouts outside the UFC. 1 —
head strike share Share of this fighter's landed significant strikes that went to the head. Head, body and leg sum to 100%. 0.0% —
body strike share Share of this fighter's landed significant strikes that went to the body. Head, body and leg sum to 100%. 0.0% —
leg strike share Share of this fighter's landed significant strikes that went to the legs. Head, body and leg sum to 100%. 0.0% —
sig strikes absorbed Significant strikes opponents land on this fighter PER ROUND, counted from the round-by-round UFC stats across their scored rounds. Lower is better. 1.374 —
takedowns absorbed Takedowns opponents complete on this fighter PER ROUND, counted from the round-by-round UFC stats across their scored rounds. Lower is better. 0.747 —
is orthodox Whether the fighter's recorded stance is orthodox. No —
is southpaw Whether the fighter's recorded stance is southpaw. No —
switch stance Whether the fighter is recorded as switching stance. No —
finish rate Share of this fighter's WINS that came by finish, KO/TKO or submission. The denominator is wins, not fights. 0.0% —
KO win rate Share of this fighter's WINS that came by KO or TKO. The denominator is wins, not fights. 0.0% —
sub win rate Share of this fighter's WINS that came by submission. The denominator is wins, not fights. 0.0% —
been stopped rate Share of this fighter's LOSSES that ended by finish — the denominator is LOSSES, not fights. A fighter who is 20-1 whose single loss was a KO therefore reads 100%. 0.0% —
distance strike share Share of this fighter's landed significant strikes thrown at distance. Distance, clinch and ground sum to 100%. 0.0% —
clinch strike share Share of this fighter's landed significant strikes thrown in the clinch. Distance, clinch and ground sum to 100%. 0.0% —
ground strike share Share of this fighter's landed significant strikes thrown on the ground. Distance, clinch and ground sum to 100%. 0.0% —
avg fight duration (m:ss) Mean length of this fighter's UFC fights, in minutes and seconds. "—" means we hold no round-time data for them. — —
Elo rating A UFC-only Elo rating: it rises and falls with results, weighted by the opponent's rating. 1500 is the starting and dataset-average value. 1500 —
PageRank How central this fighter is in the network of who-fought-whom. It reflects the quality of opposition they have shared a cage with, not their skill. 0.011 —
career stage Form over the last 4 fights before this one: 3 or more wins reads Peak, 2 or fewer reads Decline, and fewer than 4 prior fights reads Early. Early —

More from Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 4

Patrick Rivera vs Adam Darby Brandon Holmes vs Modestino Rodrigues Gabriel Lourenco vs Charlie Cleveland Hunter Smith vs Adam Livingston

Put your own money-free bets on Liam McCracken vs Silvestre Sanchez

Create a free account to run any matchup through our AI ensemble of statistical models, track a fantasy bankroll, and bet the card. No card required.

Create your free account