Luke Riley vs Kai Kamaka III Prediction & Odds

UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · Jul 11, 2026 · Featherweight

Luke Riley profile Kai Kamaka III profile

🤖 Our AI Prediction

Predicted Winner
Luke Riley
70%
Confidence

Win probability from our AI ensemble of deep learning and statistical models · 6/9 experts agree.

Model Breakdown
Luke Riley Kai Kamaka III
Deep Learning Model α 64% 36%
Deep Learning Model μ 53% 47%
Deep Learning Model ξ 82% 18%
Deep Learning Model τ 91% 9%
Statistical Model κ 87% 13%
Statistical Model β 44% 56%
Statistical Model λ 14% 86%
Statistical Model ε 45% 55%
Statistical Model ζ 87% 13%
Ensemble 70% 30%

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Market Odds

Sportsbook Luke Riley Kai Kamaka III
US Decimal US Decimal
Proline -263 1.38 +160 2.60
DraftKings -256 1.39 +210 3.10
FanDuel -233 1.43 +190 2.90
BetMGM -233 1.43 +190 2.90
Bovada -233 1.43 +195 2.95
BetOnline -238 1.42 +205 3.05

Odds captured Jul 11, 2026, 6:01 PM

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👥 Web Consensus

Luke Riley 100%
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