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Ilia Topuria vs Justin Gaethje Prediction & Odds

UFC Freedom 250: Topuria vs. Gaethje · Jun 15, 2026 · Lightweight

🤖 Our AI Prediction

Predicted Winner
Ilia Topuria
66%
Confidence

Win probability from our AI ensemble of deep learning and statistical models · 8/8 experts agree · most likely by KO/TKO (55%).

Model Breakdown
Ilia Topuria Justin Gaethje
Deep Learning Model α 55% 45%
Deep Learning Model μ 51% 49%
Deep Learning Model ξ 60% 40%
Deep Learning Model τ 70% 30%
Statistical Model β 68% 32%
Statistical Model λ 67% 33%
Statistical Model ε 79% 21%
Statistical Model ζ 100% 0%
Ensemble 66% 34%

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👥 Web Consensus

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